AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
0%
BLUE HOSE
100%
HIGHLANDERS
--
BLUE HOSE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
203.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
RADFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Radford)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RAD -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RAD)
RAD By 1-7 points
9.3%
RAD By 8-14 points
20.1%
PRES By 1-7 points
2.2%
PRES By 8-14 points
0.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Radford
111
RADFORD
Presbyterian
92
PRESBYTERIAN
Simulated Score
Radford
72
RADFORD
Presbyterian
68
PRESBYTERIAN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Highlanders (-1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o152.0
Win
Proj Total: 203.0
D
Sim
u152.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
PRES @ RAD
91 - 85
Jan 31, 2026
RAD @ PRES
93 - 84
Jan 7, 2026
PRES @ RAD
61 - 80
Mar 7, 2025
PRES @ RAD
69 - 74
Feb 22, 2025
PRES @ RAD
80 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+43.8% more
Radford: 6.8
vs
Presbyterian: 3.8
Turnovers (L5)
+11.6% more
Radford: 14.4
vs
Presbyterian: 12.7
Blocks (L5)
+124.5% more
Presbyterian: 4.8
vs
Radford: 2.1
Assists (L5)
+9.7% more
Presbyterian: 11.8
vs
Radford: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RAD Score
111.0
93
PRES Score
92.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.4 / 38.5
31.0 / 42.0
Assists
11.8 / 10.7
23.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.8 / 2.1
8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
50.9 / 48.5
51.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
74.4 / 74.9
76.0 / 69.0
Rebounding
35.0 / 34.9
46.0 / 33.0
Steals
3.8 / 6.8
3.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 14.4
22.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
PRES
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
PRES
Advantage
17-13-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
PRES
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PRES
RAD
PRES
RAD
ML
69%
22-10
77%
23-7
80%
24-6
76%
22-7
ATS
59%
19-13
63%
19-11
80%
24-6
77%
23-7
TTL
59%
19-13
67%
20-10
100%
30-0
100%
30-0