BOSTON UNIVERSITY
TERRIERSBU
8-14 | Road
97
BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
6-16 | Home
103
AI Model Win Probability
TERRIERS
0%
BISON
100%
TERRIERS
--
BISON
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (Boston University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BU -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BU)
BU By 1-7 points
0.1%
BU By 8-14 points
1.1%
BUCK By 1-7 points
0.0%
BUCK By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston University
87
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Bucknell
50
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
Boston University
67
BOSTON UNIVERSITY
Bucknell
72
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Terriers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bison
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Terriers (+2)
Loss
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Bison (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u140.5
Loss
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u140.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
BUCK @ BU
69 - 82
Jan 31, 2026
BU @ BUCK
97 - 103
Feb 12, 2025
BU @ BUCK
60 - 76
Jan 25, 2025
BUCK @ BU
82 - 85
Feb 10, 2024
BU @ BUCK
77 - 62
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+68.9% more
Boston University: 4.2
vs
Bucknell: 1.3
Turnovers (L5)
+20.4% more
Boston University: 13.3
vs
Bucknell: 10.6
Assists (L5)
+18.5% more
Bucknell: 14.7
vs
Boston University: 12.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Bucknell: 77.3%
vs
Boston University: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BU Score
87.0
97
BUCK Score
50.0
103
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.7 / 31.8
50.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.7 / 12.4
18.0 / 17.0
Blocks
1.3 / 4.2
2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 45.5
52.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
77.3 / 72.0
85.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
30.1 / 31.7
37.0 / 35.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.8
6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 13.3
8.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BU
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BU
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: +0.2
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
BU
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +8.4
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
BU
BUCK
BU
ML
55%
18-15
68%
23-11
64%
21-12
62%
21-13
ATS
45%
15-18
62%
21-13
64%
21-12
62%
21-13
TTL
61%
20-13
65%
22-12
100%
33-0
100%
34-0
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