FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
KNIGHTSFDU
7-15 | Road
72
WAGNER
SEAHAWKSWAG
6-13 | Home
75
AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
0%
SEAHAWKS
100%
KNIGHTS
--
SEAHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
159.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-55.0
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +55.0 points (Fairleigh Dickinson)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around FDU -55.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FDU)
FDU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FDU By 8-14 points
0.0%
WAG By 1-7 points
0.0%
WAG By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
107
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Wagner
52
WAGNER
Simulated Score
Fairleigh Dickinson
69
FAIRLEIGH DICKINSON
Wagner
73
WAGNER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Seahawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knights (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -55.0
D
Sim
Seahawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.0
Win
Proj Total: 159.0
D
Sim
u137.0
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
FDU @ WAG
72 - 75
Jan 19, 2026
WAG @ FDU
61 - 68
Feb 8, 2025
WAG @ FDU
58 - 69
Jan 5, 2025
FDU @ WAG
71 - 59
Mar 2, 2024
FDU @ WAG
57 - 54
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.5% more
Fairleigh Dickinson: 5.5
vs
Wagner: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+15.7%
Fairleigh Dickinson: 85.0%
vs
Wagner: 69.4%
Turnovers (L5)
+29.8% more
Wagner: 10.2
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 7.8
Blocks (L5)
+22.4% more
Wagner: 1.4
vs
Fairleigh Dickinson: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
FDU Score
107.0
72
WAG Score
52.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 27.9
36.0 / 43.0
Assists
11.3 / 12.0
12.0 / 16.0
Blocks
1.4 / 1.2
3.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 40.0
41.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 85.0
83.0 / 36.0
Rebounding
33.2 / 32.8
38.0 / 33.0
Steals
4.2 / 5.5
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
10.2 / 7.8
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
FDU
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
WAG
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
FDU
10-18-1
(35.7%)
Margin: -3.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
WAG
Advantage
16-12-0
(57.1%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-: +2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
FDU
9-20-0
O: 31.0% / U: 69.0%
Total +/-: -2.5
WAG
15-13-0
O: 53.6% / U: 46.4%
Total +/-: +4.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WAG
FDU
WAG
FDU
ML
63%
19-11
65%
20-11
57%
17-13
74%
23-8
ATS
60%
18-12
68%
21-10
57%
17-13
74%
23-8
TTL
53%
16-14
58%
18-13
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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