STONEHILL
SKYHAWKSSTO
8-14 | Road
65
LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
11-11 | Home
54
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
0%
DOLPHINS
100%
SKYHAWKS
--
DOLPHINS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
160.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-22.0
STONEHILL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +22.0 points (Stonehill)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STO -22.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STO)
STO By 1-7 points
5.8%
STO By 8-14 points
15.3%
LEM By 1-7 points
1.1%
LEM By 8-14 points
0.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Stonehill
91
STONEHILL
Le Moyne
69
LE MOYNE
Simulated Score
Stonehill
70
STONEHILL
Le Moyne
75
LE MOYNE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Dolphins
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Skyhawks (-4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -22.0
D
Sim
Dolphins (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o139.5
Loss
Proj Total: 160.0
D
Sim
u139.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 4, 2026
STO @ LEM
81 - 71
Feb 21, 2026
LEM @ STO
68 - 77
Jan 31, 2026
STO @ LEM
65 - 54
Mar 1, 2025
LEM @ STO
79 - 85
Jan 20, 2025
STO @ LEM
72 - 73
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+55.0% more
Stonehill: 4.9
vs
Le Moyne: 2.2
Rebounding (L5)
+9.0% more
Stonehill: 36.7
vs
Le Moyne: 33.4
Steals (L5)
+14.5% more
Le Moyne: 5.0
vs
Stonehill: 4.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Le Moyne: 35.9%
vs
Stonehill: 26.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STO Score
91.0
65
LEM Score
69.0
54
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.9 / 26.4
25.0 / 26.0
Assists
12.1 / 12.0
12.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.2 / 4.9
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 42.1
33.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
70.5 / 69.6
62.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
33.4 / 36.7
40.0 / 47.0
Steals
5.0 / 4.3
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 13.3
12.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STO
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STO
14-15-2
(48.3%)
Margin: -2.2
ATS +/-: +0.5
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
STO
11-20-0
O: 35.5% / U: 64.5%
Total +/-: -4.0
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEM
STO
LEM
STO
ML
68%
21-10
45%
15-18
68%
21-10
70%
23-10
ATS
65%
20-11
39%
13-20
69%
22-10
70%
23-10
TTL
42%
13-18
55%
18-15
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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