NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
13-37 | Road
114
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
26-21 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
76ERS
100%
PELICANS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+2.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHI +2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NO By 1-7 points
26.8%
NO By 8-14 points
18.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
23.0%
PHI By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
114
NEW ORLEANS
Philadelphia
112
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New Orleans
112
NEW ORLEANS
Philadelphia
115
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
76ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
76ers (+6)
Win
Proj Spread: +2.0
D
Sim
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.5
Loss
Proj Total: 226.0
D
Sim
u234.5
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
PHI @ NO
111 - 126
Jan 31, 2026
NO @ PHI
114 - 124
Mar 24, 2025
PHI @ NO
99 - 112
Jan 10, 2025
NO @ PHI
123 - 115
Mar 8, 2024
NO @ PHI
103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+40.1% more
New Orleans: 6.7
vs
Philadelphia: 4.0
Rebounding (L5)
+26.3% more
New Orleans: 48.1
vs
Philadelphia: 35.5
Steals (L5)
+13.2% more
New Orleans: 10.9
vs
Philadelphia: 9.5
Turnovers (L5)
+11.2% more
New Orleans: 12.8
vs
Philadelphia: 11.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
114.0
114
PHI Score
112.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 27.5
47.0 / 42.0
Assists
27.0 / 24.4
28.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.0 / 6.7
4.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 43.6
48.0 / 43.0
Free Throw %
79.8 / 78.3
74.0 / 86.0
Rebounding
35.5 / 48.1
52.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.5 / 10.9
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.3 / 12.8
10.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
PHI
Advantage
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NO
PHI
NO
ML
63%
69-40
62%
98-61
48%
45-48
58%
48-35
ATS
65%
71-38
68%
107-51-1
48%
45-48
58%
48-35
TTL
55%
60-49
75%
119-40
100%
93-0
100%
83-0
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