SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
18-5 | Road
104
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
LIONSLMU
11-12 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BRONCOS
100%
LIONS
0%
BRONCOS
--
LIONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-27.0
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +27.0 points (Loyola Marymount)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LMU -27.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LMU)
SCU By 1-7 points
0.3%
SCU By 8-14 points
0.0%
LMU By 1-7 points
2.2%
LMU By 8-14 points
8.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Santa Clara
68
SANTA CLARA
Loyola Marymount
95
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Simulated Score
Santa Clara
68
SANTA CLARA
Loyola Marymount
72
LOYOLA MARYMOUNT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Lions
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Lions
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Lions (+9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -27.0
D
Sim
Lions (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
SCU @ LMU
104 - 73
Jan 10, 2026
LMU @ SCU
72 - 103
Feb 20, 2025
LMU @ SCU
61 - 76
Jan 16, 2025
SCU @ LMU
54 - 57
Feb 22, 2024
LMU @ SCU
55 - 65
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+18.1% more
Loyola Marymount: 13.5
vs
Santa Clara: 11.4
Steals (L5)
+40.2% more
Santa Clara: 9.6
vs
Loyola Marymount: 5.7
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.0%
Santa Clara: 51.2%
vs
Loyola Marymount: 42.2%
Assists (L5)
+8.3% more
Santa Clara: 16.0
vs
Loyola Marymount: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SCU Score
68.0
104
LMU Score
95.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 37.8
24.0 / 39.0
Assists
14.7 / 16.0
8.0 / 18.0
Blocks
3.3 / 3.4
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 51.2
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
70.2 / 73.4
77.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 34.1
29.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.7 / 9.6
8.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 11.4
22.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
LMU
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
LMU
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
LMU
15-16-0
O: 48.4% / U: 51.6%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LMU
SCU
LMU
SCU
ML
53%
17-15
44%
15-19
50%
16-16
73%
22-8
ATS
47%
15-17
53%
18-16
50%
16-16
74%
23-8
TTL
62%
20-12
47%
16-18
100%
32-0
100%
31-0
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