BRADLEY
BRAVESBRAD
14-8 | Road
87
DRAKE
BULLDOGSDRKE
12-10 | Home
73
AI Model Win Probability
BRAVES
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
BRAVES
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BRADLEY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Bradley)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BRAD -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRAD)
BRAD By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRAD By 8-14 points
26.8%
DRKE By 1-7 points
12.2%
DRKE By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Bradley
97
BRADLEY
Drake
88
DRAKE
Simulated Score
Bradley
69
BRADLEY
Drake
75
DRAKE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Braves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Braves (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o151.5
Win
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim
u151.5
Win
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
BRAD @ DRKE
87 - 73
Jan 7, 2026
DRKE @ BRAD
66 - 93
Mar 9, 2025
BRAD @ DRKE
48 - 63
Feb 16, 2025
BRAD @ DRKE
61 - 59
Jan 8, 2025
DRKE @ BRAD
64 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.0%
Bradley: 75.4%
vs
Drake: 69.4%
Blocks (L5)
+45.3% more
Drake: 2.6
vs
Bradley: 1.8
Turnovers (L5)
+24.0% more
Drake: 9.3
vs
Bradley: 7.5
Steals (L5)
+14.4% more
Drake: 7.5
vs
Bradley: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BRAD Score
97.0
87
DRKE Score
88.0
73
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.6 / 29.1
24.0 / 65.0
Assists
11.4 / 11.9
10.0 / 17.0
Blocks
2.6 / 1.8
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 41.8
40.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
69.4 / 75.4
81.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
36.4 / 33.0
34.0 / 38.0
Steals
7.5 / 6.6
2.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
9.3 / 7.5
8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BRAD
Advantage
21-13-0
(61.8%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
DRKE
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BRAD
Advantage
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: 3.6
ATS +/-: -0.9
DRKE
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: 0.2
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BRAD
20-13-0
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +5.6
DRKE
18-14-0
O: 56.3% / U: 43.8%
Total +/-: +3.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DRKE
BRAD
DRKE
BRAD
ML
59%
20-14
65%
22-12
38%
13-21
68%
23-11
ATS
85%
29-5
59%
20-14
38%
13-21
68%
23-11
TTL
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
100%
34-0
100%
34-0
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