SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
REDHAWKSSEMO
12-10 | Road
77
EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
9-13 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
PANTHERS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
158.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Eastern Illinois)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around EIU -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (EIU)
SEMO By 1-7 points
0.6%
SEMO By 8-14 points
0.1%
EIU By 1-7 points
4.0%
EIU By 8-14 points
12.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Southeast Missouri State
67
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Eastern Illinois
91
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
Southeast Missouri State
68
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI STATE
Eastern Illinois
72
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Panthers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Panthers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Panthers (+9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim
Panthers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o137.5
Loss
Proj Total: 158.0
D
Sim
u137.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
SEMO @ EIU
77 - 59
Jan 1, 2026
EIU @ SEMO
59 - 68
Mar 1, 2025
SEMO @ EIU
58 - 73
Dec 19, 2024
EIU @ SEMO
72 - 79
Feb 15, 2024
SEMO @ EIU
57 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+55.7% more
Eastern Illinois: 8.5
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 5.4
Blocks (L5)
+37.3% more
Eastern Illinois: 2.1
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 1.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.4%
Eastern Illinois: 72.4%
vs
Southeast Missouri State: 66.0%
Assists (L5)
+16.2% more
Southeast Missouri State: 14.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEMO Score
67.0
77
EIU Score
91.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.9 / 30.5
47.0 / 41.0
Assists
11.9 / 14.2
9.0 / 20.0
Blocks
2.1 / 1.5
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 46.6
39.0 / 50.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 66.0
73.0 / 73.0
Rebounding
32.5 / 32.4
27.0 / 33.0
Steals
8.5 / 5.4
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.0
14.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEMO
Advantage
20-13-0
(60.6%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEMO
14-16-0
(46.7%)
Margin: 3.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SEMO
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7%
Total +/-: -2.4
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
SEMO
EIU
SEMO
ML
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
74%
23-8
50%
15-15
ATS
50%
16-16
67%
22-11
74%
23-8
50%
15-15
TTL
69%
22-10
58%
19-14
100%
31-0
100%
30-0
