DELAWARE
BLUE HENSDEL
6-14 | Road
55
UTEP
MINERSUTEP
7-14 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
100%
MINERS
0%
BLUE HENS
--
MINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
115.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (UTEP)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)
DEL By 1-7 points
12.2%
DEL By 8-14 points
4.0%
UTEP By 1-7 points
24.3%
UTEP By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Delaware
53
DELAWARE
UTEP
62
UTEP
Simulated Score
Delaware
68
DELAWARE
UTEP
72
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Miners
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Miners
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Miners (-5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Miners (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 115.0
D
Sim
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
DEL @ UTEP
55 - 70
Jan 15, 2026
UTEP @ DEL
70 - 69
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+34.2% more
UTEP: 13.1
vs
Delaware: 9.7
Steals (L5)
+32.1% more
UTEP: 6.9
vs
Delaware: 5.2
Blocks (L5)
+29.6% more
UTEP: 3.2
vs
Delaware: 2.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+7.2%
Delaware: 47.1%
vs
UTEP: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEL Score
53.0
55
UTEP Score
62.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 37.8
38.0 / 9.0
Assists
13.1 / 9.7
13.0 / 7.0
Blocks
3.2 / 2.5
1.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
40.0 / 47.1
39.0 / 27.0
Free Throw %
75.4 / 77.0
80.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
28.5 / 28.6
35.0 / 38.0
Steals
6.9 / 5.2
12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.5 / 10.7
6.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
10-21-0
(32.3%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
UTEP
Advantage
11-20-0
(35.5%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
Advantage
15-14-1
(51.7%)
Margin: -6.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
UTEP
13-15-0
(46.4%)
Margin: -3.1
ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +2.0
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6%
Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
DEL
UTEP
DEL
ML
70%
21-9
45%
14-17
72%
21-8
52%
16-15
ATS
57%
17-13
61%
19-12
73%
22-8
52%
16-15
TTL
60%
18-12
65%
20-11
100%
30-0
100%
31-0
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