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SIU EDWARDSVILLE

COUGARSSIUE

13-9  |  Road

58
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 8:30 PM ET
Liberty Arena (IN)
View Odds Details →

SOUTHERN INDIANA

SCREAMING EAGLESUSI

5-16  |  Home

46
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
📊
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
COUGARS --
SCREAMING EAGLES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
133.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-35.0
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +35.0 points (SIU Edwardsville)
CougarsSIUE (-3.5) 0 Screaming EaglesUSI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cougars Cover

100.0%

Screaming Eagles Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SIUE -35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SIUE)

SIUE By 1-7 points

0.3%

SIUE By 8-14 points

1.7%

USI By 1-7 points

0.0%

USI By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
84
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
49
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
70
SIU EDWARDSVILLE
75
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cougars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Screaming Eagles Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cougars (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
D
Sim Screaming Eagles (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o130.5 Loss
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Sim u130.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 SIUE @ USI 58 - 46
Jan 1, 2026 USI @ SIUE 55 - 59
Feb 22, 2025 SIUE @ USI 68 - 82
Jan 23, 2025 USI @ SIUE 76 - 82
Feb 10, 2024 SIUE @ USI 67 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +35.0% more
SIU Edwardsville: 14.7 vs Southern Indiana: 9.5
Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
SIU Edwardsville: 43.6% vs Southern Indiana: 36.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
SIU Edwardsville: 36.4% vs Southern Indiana: 30.2%
Turnovers (L5) +44.2% more
Southern Indiana: 15.4 vs SIU Edwardsville: 10.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SIUE Score 84.0 58
USI Score 49.0 46
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 36.4 25.0 / 18.0
Assists 9.5 / 14.7 9.0 / 6.0
Blocks 5.0 / 5.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 36.7 / 43.6 28.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 67.0 / 67.0 77.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 45.0 / 34.6 31.0 / 36.0
Steals 7.0 / 5.1 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 15.4 / 10.7 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
81%TICKETS19%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
85%MONEY15%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SIUE Advantage
19-13-0 (59.4%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
USI
7-23-0 (23.3%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SIUE Advantage
15-14-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 6.3 ATS +/-: +1.2
USI
11-16-1 (40.7%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SIUE
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1% Total +/-: -4.5
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7% Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
SIUE
USI
SIUE
ML
67% 20-10
65% 20-11
61% 17-11
60% 18-12
ATS
70% 21-9
55% 17-14
61% 17-11
60% 18-12
TTL
73% 22-8
48% 15-16
100% 28-0
100% 30-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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