Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pirates @ Tigers HAMP @ TOW

HAMPTON

PIRATESHAMP

10-12  |  Road

50
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 2:00 PM ET
SECU Arena
View Odds Details →

TOWSON

TIGERSTOW

12-11  |  Home

82
AI Model Win Probability
PIRATES
100%
📊
TIGERS
0%
PIRATES --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
128.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Towson)
PiratesHAMP (-3.5) 0 TigersTOW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pirates Cover

34.5%

Tigers Cover

65.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around TOW -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

HAMP By 1-7 points

20.1%

HAMP By 8-14 points

9.3%

TOW By 1-7 points

27.4%

TOW By 8-14 points

21.6%

AI Model Projected Score
62
HAMPTON
66
TOWSON
Simulated Score
65
HAMPTON
72
TOWSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+8.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 128.0
D
Sim u133.5 Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 7, 2026 HAMP @ TOW 68 - 74
Jan 31, 2026 HAMP @ TOW 50 - 82
Dec 31, 2025 TOW @ HAMP 62 - 63
Mar 1, 2025 HAMP @ TOW 72 - 75
Feb 17, 2024 TOW @ HAMP 61 - 67
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Towson: 43.2% vs Hampton: 39.6%
Blocks (L5) +33.2% more
Hampton: 3.3 vs Towson: 2.2
Turnovers (L5) +22.5% more
Hampton: 10.7 vs Towson: 8.3
Assists (L5) +20.2% more
Hampton: 11.5 vs Towson: 9.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAMP Score 62.0 50
TOW Score 66.0 82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.4 / 28.3 44.0 / 32.0
Assists 9.2 / 11.5 15.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.2 / 3.3 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.2 / 39.6 56.0 / 29.0
Free Throw % 73.0 / 76.2 60.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.2 / 35.3 43.0 / 34.0
Steals 5.5 / 5.4 5.0 / 2.0
Turnovers 8.3 / 10.7 9.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
34%MONEY66%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
13%MONEY87%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAMP
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
TOW Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAMP Advantage
16-13-0 (55.2%)
Margin: -0.8 ATS +/-: -0.5
TOW
14-17-1 (45.2%)
Margin: 3.1 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
HAMP
14-15-0
O: 48.3% / U: 51.7% Total +/-: +1.1
TOW
11-21-0
O: 34.4% / U: 65.6% Total +/-: -5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOW
HAMP
TOW
HAMP
ML
66% 21-11
53% 17-15
62% 20-12
75% 24-8
ATS
66% 21-11
50% 16-16
62% 20-12
75% 24-8
TTL
53% 17-15
68% 21-10-1
100% 32-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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