RUTGERS
SCARLET KNIGHTSRUTG
9-12 | Road
75
USC
TROJANSUSC
15-6 | Home
78
AI Model Win Probability
SCARLET KNIGHTS
0%
TROJANS
100%
SCARLET KNIGHTS
--
TROJANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
107.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
USC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around USC +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (USC)
RUTG By 1-7 points
27.2%
RUTG By 8-14 points
20.1%
USC By 1-7 points
21.6%
USC By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Rutgers
55
RUTGERS
USC
52
USC
Simulated Score
Rutgers
67
RUTGERS
USC
75
USC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Scarlet Knights
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Trojans
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Trojans (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Trojans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u145.5
Loss
Proj Total: 107.0
D
Sim
u145.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
RUTG @ USC
75 - 78
Mar 12, 2025
USC @ RUTG
97 - 89
Feb 23, 2025
USC @ RUTG
85 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+14.9% more
Rutgers: 5.9
vs
USC: 5.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.7%
Rutgers: 79.5%
vs
USC: 66.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Rutgers: 32.1%
vs
USC: 25.8%
Blocks (L5)
+32.6% more
USC: 4.2
vs
Rutgers: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RUTG Score
55.0
75
USC Score
52.0
78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.8 / 32.1
33.0 / 33.0
Assists
11.6 / 10.2
16.0 / 14.0
Blocks
4.2 / 3.1
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
46.0 / 40.3
51.0 / 39.0
Free Throw %
66.8 / 79.5
73.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
35.8 / 28.7
40.0 / 33.0
Steals
5.0 / 5.9
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 8.2
17.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RUTG
14-20-0
(41.2%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
USC
Advantage
18-14-0
(56.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RUTG
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.8
ATS +/-: -0.3
USC
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: -3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
RUTG
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2%
Total +/-: +2.6
USC
17-14-0
O: 54.8% / U: 45.2%
Total +/-: +2.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USC
RUTG
USC
RUTG
ML
52%
16-15
53%
18-16
58%
18-13
70%
23-10
ATS
68%
21-10
68%
23-11
58%
18-13
70%
23-10
TTL
68%
21-10
53%
18-16
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
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