OMAHA
MAVERICKSOMA
11-12 | Road
84
DENVER
PIONEERSDEN
10-13 | Home
82
AI Model Win Probability
MAVERICKS
100%
PIONEERS
0%
MAVERICKS
--
PIONEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Denver)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DEN -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)
OMA By 1-7 points
23.0%
OMA By 8-14 points
12.2%
DEN By 1-7 points
26.8%
DEN By 8-14 points
18.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Omaha
83
OMAHA
Denver
85
DENVER
Simulated Score
Omaha
70
OMAHA
Denver
75
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Pioneers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Pioneers (+2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Pioneers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o158.5
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u158.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 15, 2026
DEN @ OMA
76 - 83
Jan 31, 2026
OMA @ DEN
84 - 82
Feb 1, 2025
DEN @ OMA
69 - 78
Jan 15, 2025
OMA @ DEN
80 - 62
Mar 11, 2024
DEN @ OMA
66 - 63
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Denver: 36.8%
vs
Omaha: 28.3%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.1%
Denver: 74.8%
vs
Omaha: 72.7%
Steals (L5)
+44.5% more
Omaha: 7.3
vs
Denver: 4.1
Blocks (L5)
+32.3% more
Omaha: 2.6
vs
Denver: 1.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OMA Score
83.0
84
DEN Score
85.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 28.3
40.0 / 33.0
Assists
10.3 / 12.0
10.0 / 11.0
Blocks
1.8 / 2.6
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 46.9
45.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
74.8 / 72.7
77.0 / 77.0
Rebounding
38.6 / 35.8
33.0 / 43.0
Steals
4.1 / 7.3
3.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
10.3 / 11.6
5.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OMA
Advantage
16-17-0
(48.5%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
DEN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OMA
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: -0.5
ATS +/-: +0.1
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
⚖️ Over/Under
OMA
14-14-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.6
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
OMA
DEN
OMA
ML
56%
18-14
79%
26-7
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
ATS
66%
21-11
76%
25-8
59%
19-13
67%
22-11
TTL
59%
19-13
73%
24-9
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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