Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Panthers @ Tigers PITT @ CLEM

PITTSBURGH

PANTHERSPITT

9-12  |  Road

52
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 12:00 PM ET
Littlejohn Coliseum
View Odds Details →

CLEMSON

TIGERSCLEM

17-4  |  Home

63
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
PANTHERS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Pittsburgh)
PanthersPITT (-3.5) 0 TigersCLEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

100.0%

Tigers Cover

0.0%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PITT -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)

PITT By 1-7 points

0.1%

PITT By 8-14 points

0.6%

CLEM By 1-7 points

0.0%

CLEM By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
93
PITTSBURGH
54
CLEMSON
Simulated Score
71
PITTSBURGH
75
CLEMSON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Panthers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Panthers (-12.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -39.0
D
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o134.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u134.5 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 PITT @ CLEM 52 - 63
Jan 3, 2026 CLEM @ PITT 73 - 68
Jan 18, 2025 CLEM @ PITT 78 - 75
Feb 27, 2024 PITT @ CLEM 62 - 69
Dec 3, 2023 CLEM @ PITT 79 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5) +14.1% more
Pittsburgh: 40.3 vs Clemson: 34.6
Blocks (L5) +10.0% more
Pittsburgh: 3.3 vs Clemson: 3.0
Free Throw % (L5) +11.2%
Clemson: 71.4% vs Pittsburgh: 60.3%
Turnovers (L5) +10.6% more
Clemson: 10.8 vs Pittsburgh: 9.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PITT Score 93.0 52
CLEM Score 54.0 63
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.2 / 33.2 38.0 / 19.0
Assists 12.1 / 12.6 12.0 / 9.0
Blocks 3.0 / 3.3 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.0 / 39.8 46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw % 71.4 / 60.3 85.0 / 64.0
Rebounding 34.6 / 40.3 25.0 / 33.0
Steals 6.1 / 6.1 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 10.8 / 9.8 11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
82%TICKETS18%
46%MONEY54%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PITT
13-20-0 (39.4%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
CLEM Advantage
24-11-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PITT Advantage
17-16-0 (51.5%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
CLEM
16-17-1 (48.5%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9% Total +/-: -0.2
CLEM
13-21-0
O: 38.2% / U: 61.8% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLEM
PITT
CLEM
PITT
ML
63% 22-13
58% 19-14
72% 23-9
45% 15-18
ATS
71% 25-10
64% 21-12
72% 23-9
45% 15-18
TTL
69% 24-11
61% 20-13
100% 32-0
100% 33-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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