LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
22-17-13 | Road
3
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
24-20-9 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dan Vladar
#80 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 1.91 | 0.905 | -- |
| Dan Vladar | None-None | 2.87 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
1.91 Ldr
GAA
2.87
0.905 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
FLYERS
0%
KINGS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
LA By 1 goal
12.1%
LA By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u5.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
PHI @ LA
4 - 3
Jan 31, 2026
LA @ PHI
3 - 2
Dec 29, 2024
PHI @ LA
4 - 5
Dec 19, 2024
LA @ PHI
7 - 3
Nov 11, 2023
PHI @ LA
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+25.9% more
Philadelphia: 16.3
vs
Los Angeles: 12.9
Hits (L5)
+18.3% more
Philadelphia: 26.7
vs
Los Angeles: 22.6
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.9%
Philadelphia: 44.7%
vs
Los Angeles: 39.8%
Takeaways (L5)
+10.6% more
Los Angeles: 5.1
vs
Philadelphia: 4.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LA Score
3.0
3
PHI Score
4.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.3 / 12.9
16.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
44.7 / 39.8
52.9 / 47.1
Hits
26.7 / 22.6
29.0 / 25.0
Power Play %
18.8 / 27.1
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
28.1 / 29.1
21.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.6 / 5.1
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
LA
PHI
LA
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
50%
2-2
33%
1-2
ATS
25%
1-3
100%
3-0
25%
1-3
67%
2-1
TTL
25%
1-3
0%
0-3
50%
2-2
0%
0-3
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