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TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

24-21-9  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 7:00 PM ET
Rogers Arena
View Odds Details →

VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

18-31-5  |  Home

2
Goaltending
David Kampf
GOALTENDER

David Kampf

#64 | C
@
Nikita Tolopilo
GOALTENDER

Nikita Tolopilo

#60 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
David Kampf None-None -- -- --
Nikita Tolopilo None-None 1.85 0.951 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
-- GAA 1.85
-- Save % 0.951
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
📊
CANUCKS
100%
MAPLE LEAFS --
CANUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
4.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Toronto)
Maple LeafsTOR (-3.5) 0 CanucksVAN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Maple Leafs Cover

84.1%

Canucks Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

TOR By 1 goal

17.5%

TOR By 2-3 goals

37.2%

VAN By 1 goal

6.6%

VAN By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
3
TORONTO
1
VANCOUVER
Simulated Score
2
TORONTO
5
VANCOUVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Maple Leafs Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Canucks Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Maple Leafs (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Canucks (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 4.0
D
Sim u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 TOR @ VAN 3 - 2
Jan 10, 2026 VAN @ TOR 0 - 5
Feb 8, 2025 TOR @ VAN 1 - 2
Jan 11, 2025 VAN @ TOR 3 - 0
Jan 20, 2024 TOR @ VAN 4 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +22.9% more
Toronto: 5.5 vs Vancouver: 4.2
Hits (L5) +20.8% more
Toronto: 24.1 vs Vancouver: 19.1
Power Play % (L5) +12.7%
Toronto: 19.6% vs Vancouver: 6.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +2.2%
Toronto: 54.1% vs Vancouver: 52.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOR Score 3.0 3
VAN Score 1.0 2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.4 / 12.1 23.0 / 10.0
Faceoff % 52.0 / 54.1 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 19.1 / 24.1 14.0 / 17.0
Power Play % 690.0 / 1956.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.0 / 28.4 30.0 / 41.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 5.5 7.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
79%TICKETS21%
62%MONEY38%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
54%TICKETS46%
93%MONEY7%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
75%MONEY25%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VAN
TOR
VAN
TOR
ML
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
TTL
50% 2-2
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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