SAN JOSE
SHARKSSJ
27-21-4 | Road
2
CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
21-26-6 | Home
3
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Alex Nedeljkovic
#33 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | None-None | 3.12 | 0.929 | -- |
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 2.01 | 0.920 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.12
GAA
Ldr 2.01
0.929 Ldr
Save %
0.920
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
SHARKS
0%
FLAMES
100%
SHARKS
--
FLAMES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SAN JOSE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (San Jose)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around SJ -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SJ)
SJ By 1 goal
19.7%
SJ By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CGY By 1 goal
12.1%
CGY By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Jose
3
SAN JOSE
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Simulated Score
San Jose
2
SAN JOSE
Calgary
5
CALGARY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sharks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flames
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Sharks (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flames (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 26, 2026
CGY @ SJ
4 - 1
Jan 31, 2026
SJ @ CGY
2 - 3
Dec 16, 2025
CGY @ SJ
3 - 6
Nov 13, 2025
SJ @ CGY
0 - 2
Apr 13, 2025
SJ @ CGY
2 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5)
+15.3%
Calgary: 32.5%
vs
San Jose: 17.2%
Hits (L5)
+11.8% more
Calgary: 20.8
vs
San Jose: 18.6
Shots on Goal (L5)
+8.6% more
Calgary: 28.2
vs
San Jose: 25.9
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.5%
Calgary: 49.8%
vs
San Jose: 43.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SJ Score
3.0
2
CGY Score
2.0
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
16.0 / 15.5
18.0 / 19.0
Faceoff %
49.8 / 43.3
56.7 / 43.3
Hits
20.8 / 18.6
21.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
32.5 / 17.2
16.7 / 25.0
Shots on Goal
28.2 / 25.9
42.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
4.3 / 4.3
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
SJ
CGY
SJ
ML
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
ATS
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
33%
1-2
TTL
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
Contextual Game News
Penguins Embarrassed by Capitals as Turnovers and Disorganizatio…
Flames Promote Aydar Suniev and Jonathan Castagna to Fill Roster…
Sharks Stunned: Celebrini Sidelined by Lower-Body Injury Moments…
Sharks' Celebrini Sidelined with Lower-Body Injury in Loss to St…
Sharks Place Forward Patrick Giles on Waivers