Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Tigers @ Panthers TXSO @ PV

TEXAS SOUTHERN

TIGERSTXSO

6-13  |  Road

78
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 5:30 PM ET
William Nicks Building
View Odds Details →

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PANTHERSPV

8-13  |  Home

85
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
PANTHERS
0%
TIGERS --
PANTHERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.0 points (Prairie View A&M)
TigersTXSO (-3.5) 0 PanthersPV (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

9.7%

Panthers Cover

90.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PV -13.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

TXSO By 1-7 points

6.8%

TXSO By 8-14 points

1.7%

PV By 1-7 points

18.6%

PV By 8-14 points

26.8%

AI Model Projected Score
74
TEXAS SOUTHERN
87
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Simulated Score
68
TEXAS SOUTHERN
73
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Panthers (+1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Sim Panthers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o158.5 Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim u158.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 5, 2026 PV @ TXSO 70 - 59
Jan 31, 2026 TXSO @ PV 78 - 85
Mar 8, 2025 TXSO @ PV 80 - 68
Feb 1, 2025 PV @ TXSO 63 - 79
Mar 9, 2024 PV @ TXSO 78 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +27.4% more
Prairie View A&M: 13.5 vs Texas Southern: 10.6
Assists (L5) +18.4% more
Texas Southern: 16.0 vs Prairie View A&M: 13.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +11.8%
Texas Southern: 39.9% vs Prairie View A&M: 28.1%
Rebounding (L5) +9.0% more
Texas Southern: 36.1 vs Prairie View A&M: 32.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TXSO Score 74.0 78
PV Score 87.0 85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 28.1 / 39.9 33.0 / 39.0
Assists 13.1 / 16.0 12.0 / 3.0
Blocks 3.5 / 3.7 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 41.3 / 49.8 43.0 / 46.0
Free Throw % 78.0 / 76.9 80.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 32.9 / 36.1 29.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.3 / 7.0 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.5 / 10.6 7.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
52%TICKETS48%
46%MONEY54%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
42%MONEY58%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
35%TICKETS65%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TXSO
12-18-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
PV Advantage
19-18-0 (51.3%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TXSO
9-19-0 (32.1%)
Margin: -2.9 ATS +/-: -0.4
PV Advantage
22-10-0 (68.8%)
Margin: 1.4 ATS +/-: +2.7
⚖️ Over/Under
TXSO
14-14-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.3
PV
12-20-0
O: 37.5% / U: 62.5% Total +/-: -2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PV
TXSO
PV
TXSO
ML
59% 20-14
64% 18-10
68% 21-10
71% 17-7
ATS
56% 19-15
61% 17-11
68% 21-10
71% 17-7
TTL
50% 17-17
71% 20-8
100% 31-0
100% 24-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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