Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Aggies @ Bulldogs TA&M @ UGA

TEXAS A&M

AGGIESTA&M

16-4  |  Road

92
FINAL
Sat, Jan 31 • 1:00 PM ET
Stegeman Coliseum
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

BULLDOGSUGA

16-5  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
AGGIES
100%
📊
BULLDOGS
0%
AGGIES --
BULLDOGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
144.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.0 points (Georgia)
AggiesTA&M (-3.5) 0 BulldogsUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Aggies Cover

5.5%

Bulldogs Cover

94.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -16.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)

TA&M By 1-7 points

4.0%

TA&M By 8-14 points

0.8%

UGA By 1-7 points

13.7%

UGA By 8-14 points

24.3%

AI Model Projected Score
64
TEXAS A&M
80
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
69
TEXAS A&M
76
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bulldogs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Bulldogs (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -16.0
D
Sim Bulldogs (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u157.5 Loss
Proj Total: 144.0
D
Sim u157.5 Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 31, 2026 TA&M @ UGA 92 - 77
Feb 11, 2025 UGA @ TA&M 53 - 69
Mar 2, 2024 TA&M @ UGA 70 - 56
Feb 4, 2023 UGA @ TA&M 57 - 82
Feb 22, 2022 UGA @ TA&M 77 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +31.8% more
Georgia: 5.8 vs Texas A&M: 4.4
Turnovers (L5) +21.1% more
Georgia: 9.9 vs Texas A&M: 8.2
Assists (L5) +40.3% more
Texas A&M: 19.2 vs Georgia: 11.5
Rebounding (L5) +14.3% more
Texas A&M: 37.8 vs Georgia: 32.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TA&M Score 64.0 92
UGA Score 80.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.0 / 38.4 25.0 / 38.0
Assists 11.5 / 19.2 14.0 / 17.0
Blocks 5.8 / 4.4 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.1 / 45.7 40.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 74.4 / 81.6 80.0 / 95.0
Rebounding 32.4 / 37.8 39.0 / 46.0
Steals 6.4 / 7.1 9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 9.9 / 8.2 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TA&M
22-12-0 (64.7%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
UGA Advantage
22-11-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TA&M Advantage
19-15-0 (55.9%)
Margin: 7.1 ATS +/-: +0.6
UGA
15-17-1 (46.9%)
Margin: 9.6 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TA&M
20-14-0
O: 58.8% / U: 41.2% Total +/-: +2.0
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
TA&M
UGA
TA&M
ML
67% 22-11
67% 20-10
56% 18-14
54% 15-13
ATS
61% 20-13
67% 20-10
56% 18-14
54% 15-13
TTL
64% 21-12
70% 21-9
100% 32-0
100% 28-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
K-State vs Houston: Week 6 Showdown with Big 12 Title Implicatio…
si 5 hours, 52 minutes ago
Rylan Griffen Secures Spot on Texas A&M's 2026-27 Roster After N…
aggieswire 12 hours, 34 minutes ago
Houston Cougars Set for Road Test Against Kansas State in Big 12…
si 1 day, 5 hours ago
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…
aggieswire 4 days, 12 hours ago
Houston Cougars Erase 17-Point Deficit to Stun UCF in Space Game
si 4 days, 23 hours ago