BYU
COUGARSBYU
17-3 | Road
82
KANSAS
JAYHAWKSKU
15-5 | Home
90
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
0%
JAYHAWKS
100%
COUGARS
--
JAYHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
168.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
BYU
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (BYU)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BYU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BYU)
BYU By 1-7 points
26.8%
BYU By 8-14 points
24.3%
KU By 1-7 points
16.9%
KU By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
BYU
87
BYU
Kansas
81
KANSAS
Simulated Score
BYU
70
BYU
Kansas
78
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cougars
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Jayhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cougars (-3.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Jayhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o157.5
Win
Proj Total: 168.0
D
Sim
u157.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 31, 2026
BYU @ KU
82 - 90
Feb 18, 2025
KU @ BYU
57 - 91
Feb 27, 2024
BYU @ KU
76 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+22.4% more
BYU: 6.0
vs
Kansas: 4.7
Turnovers (L5)
+14.8% more
BYU: 11.1
vs
Kansas: 9.5
Blocks (L5)
+24.6% more
Kansas: 5.5
vs
BYU: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+11.6% more
Kansas: 16.1
vs
BYU: 14.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BYU Score
87.0
82
KU Score
81.0
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.0 / 34.3
50.0 / 34.0
Assists
16.1 / 14.4
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.4
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 45.0
57.0 / 45.0
Free Throw %
81.6 / 74.4
63.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 39.6
32.0 / 37.0
Steals
4.7 / 6.0
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
9.5 / 11.1
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BYU
23-12-0
(65.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
KU
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BYU
16-19-0
(45.7%)
Margin: 8.1
ATS +/-: -1.9
KU
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 6.1
ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BYU
17-18-0
O: 48.6% / U: 51.4%
Total +/-: +0.1
KU
11-24-0
O: 31.4% / U: 68.6%
Total +/-: -4.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
BYU
KU
BYU
ML
57%
20-15
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
72%
23-9
ATS
49%
17-18
54%
19-16
68%
21-10
72%
23-9
TTL
60%
21-14
69%
24-11
100%
31-0
100%
32-0
Contextual Game News
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