AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
14-7 | Road
69
TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
14-6 | Home
77
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
VOLUNTEERS
100%
TIGERS
--
VOLUNTEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+3.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TENN +3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
AUB By 1-7 points
27.2%
AUB By 8-14 points
20.1%
TENN By 1-7 points
21.6%
TENN By 8-14 points
10.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Auburn
70
AUBURN
Tennessee
67
TENNESSEE
Simulated Score
Auburn
71
AUBURN
Tennessee
76
TENNESSEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Volunteers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Volunteers (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +3.0
D
Sim
Volunteers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
AUB @ TENN
62 - 72
Jan 31, 2026
AUB @ TENN
69 - 77
Mar 15, 2025
TENN @ AUB
70 - 65
Jan 25, 2025
TENN @ AUB
51 - 53
Feb 28, 2024
AUB @ TENN
84 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.5% more
Auburn: 3.5
vs
Tennessee: 2.7
Steals (L5)
+22.0% more
Auburn: 7.9
vs
Tennessee: 6.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+13.3%
Auburn: 78.6%
vs
Tennessee: 65.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.9%
Auburn: 47.3%
vs
Tennessee: 45.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
AUB Score
70.0
69
TENN Score
67.0
77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 34.3
31.0 / 23.0
Assists
14.8 / 9.8
17.0 / 13.0
Blocks
2.7 / 3.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.4 / 47.3
44.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
65.3 / 78.6
81.0 / 70.0
Rebounding
45.2 / 32.0
46.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.2 / 7.9
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 7.7
15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AUB
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AUB
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
TENN
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TENN
AUB
TENN
AUB
ML
46%
17-20
58%
22-16
64%
21-12
75%
24-8
ATS
54%
20-17
74%
28-10
64%
21-12
75%
24-8
TTL
76%
28-9
53%
20-18
100%
33-0
100%
32-0
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