DETROIT
PISTONSDET
34-12 | Road
131
GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
27-22 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
WARRIORS
100%
PISTONS
--
WARRIORS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
236.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
26.8%
DET By 8-14 points
24.3%
GS By 1-7 points
16.9%
GS By 8-14 points
6.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
121
DETROIT
Golden State
115
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Golden State
120
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Warriors
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Warriors (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o225.0
Win
Proj Total: 236.0
D
Sim
u225.0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 20, 2026
GS @ DET
101 - 115
Jan 30, 2026
DET @ GS
131 - 124
Mar 8, 2025
DET @ GS
110 - 115
Jan 9, 2025
GS @ DET
107 - 104
Oct 13, 2024
DET @ GS
93 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+38.9% more
Golden State: 5.7
vs
Detroit: 4.1
Steals (L5)
+35.8% more
Golden State: 14.0
vs
Detroit: 10.3
Turnovers (L5)
+35.2% more
Golden State: 16.6
vs
Detroit: 12.3
Assists (L5)
+20.8% more
Golden State: 31.4
vs
Detroit: 26.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
121.0
131
GS Score
115.0
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.3 / 28.2
35.0 / 38.0
Assists
31.4 / 26.0
31.0 / 31.0
Blocks
5.7 / 4.1
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 46.6
44.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
78.1 / 77.6
74.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
42.0 / 40.4
42.0 / 53.0
Steals
14.0 / 10.3
10.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 12.3
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
DET
GS
DET
ML
55%
95-79
55%
64-53
58%
49-35
49%
47-49
ATS
58%
101-73
53%
60-54-3
58%
49-35
49%
47-49
TTL
77%
134-40
60%
70-46-1
100%
84-0
100%
96-0
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