RICE
OWLSRICE
9-12 | Road
70
CHARLOTTE
49ERSCLT
12-9 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
OWLS
0%
49ERS
100%
OWLS
--
49ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
161.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around RICE -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
RICE By 1-7 points
21.6%
RICE By 8-14 points
27.4%
CLT By 1-7 points
9.3%
CLT By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Rice
86
RICE
Charlotte
75
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Rice
68
RICE
Charlotte
75
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
49ers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Owls (-4.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
49ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o141.5
Win
Proj Total: 161.0
D
Sim
u141.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
RICE @ CLT
70 - 80
Jan 11, 2026
CLT @ RICE
74 - 73
Mar 12, 2025
CLT @ RICE
64 - 61
Feb 8, 2025
RICE @ CLT
75 - 78
Jan 4, 2025
CLT @ RICE
55 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+38.8% more
Rice: 5.7
vs
Charlotte: 3.5
Blocks (L5)
+13.7% more
Rice: 3.1
vs
Charlotte: 2.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.0%
Rice: 42.1%
vs
Charlotte: 39.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Charlotte: 73.8%
vs
Rice: 65.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RICE Score
86.0
70
CLT Score
75.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.1 / 42.1
47.0 / 29.0
Assists
13.4 / 12.6
14.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.6 / 3.1
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
49.4 / 47.4
51.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
73.8 / 65.6
75.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.2 / 35.0
30.0 / 40.0
Steals
3.5 / 5.7
5.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 12.0
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
CLT
Advantage
17-17-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RICE
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
CLT
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6%
Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
RICE
CLT
RICE
ML
62%
21-13
53%
16-14
67%
22-11
53%
16-14
ATS
68%
23-11
60%
18-12
67%
22-11
53%
16-14
TTL
65%
22-12
77%
23-7
100%
33-0
100%
30-0
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