HARVARD
CRIMSONHARV
10-9 | Road
69
BROWN
BEARSBRWN
7-11 | Home
59
AI Model Win Probability
CRIMSON
100%
BEARS
0%
CRIMSON
--
BEARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
BROWN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Brown)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BRWN -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BRWN)
HARV By 1-7 points
12.2%
HARV By 8-14 points
4.0%
BRWN By 1-7 points
24.3%
BRWN By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Harvard
71
HARVARD
Brown
80
BROWN
Simulated Score
Harvard
70
HARVARD
Brown
75
BROWN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bears
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bears
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bears (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bears (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o134.5
Loss
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u134.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 13, 2026
BRWN @ HARV
53 - 56
Jan 30, 2026
HARV @ BRWN
69 - 59
Feb 28, 2025
BRWN @ HARV
59 - 52
Jan 18, 2025
HARV @ BRWN
80 - 67
Mar 1, 2024
HARV @ BRWN
68 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.7% more
Brown: 4.8
vs
Harvard: 4.0
Turnovers (L5)
+19.9% more
Brown: 11.2
vs
Harvard: 9.3
Rebounding (L5)
+17.7% more
Brown: 35.9
vs
Harvard: 30.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+13.8%
Harvard: 39.1%
vs
Brown: 25.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
HARV Score
71.0
69
BRWN Score
80.0
59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.2 / 39.1
20.0 / 35.0
Assists
14.4 / 15.5
17.0 / 9.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.0
2.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.6 / 47.3
43.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
76.5 / 76.3
53.0 / 93.0
Rebounding
35.9 / 30.5
27.0 / 26.0
Steals
6.4 / 7.4
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 9.3
10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HARV
Advantage
17-12-0
(58.6%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
BRWN
9-18-0
(33.3%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HARV
12-13-1
(48.0%)
Margin: 3.4
ATS +/-: +2.6
BRWN
Advantage
14-12-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.3
ATS +/-: +1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
HARV
9-17-0
O: 34.6% / U: 65.4%
Total +/-: -4.3
BRWN
12-13-0
O: 48.0% / U: 52.0%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BRWN
HARV
BRWN
HARV
ML
56%
15-12
45%
13-16
67%
18-9
52%
15-14
ATS
59%
16-11
45%
13-16
67%
18-9
52%
15-14
TTL
59%
16-11
41%
12-17
100%
27-0
100%
29-0
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