AI Model Win Probability
VIKINGS
0%
PHOENIX
100%
VIKINGS
--
PHOENIX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
150.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
CLEVELAND STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Cleveland State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
0.4%
CLE By 8-14 points
2.2%
GB By 1-7 points
0.0%
GB By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland State
92
CLEVELAND STATE
Green Bay
58
GREEN BAY
Simulated Score
Cleveland State
74
CLEVELAND STATE
Green Bay
69
GREEN BAY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Vikings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Vikings
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Vikings (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Vikings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 30, 2026
CLE @ GB
89 - 82
Jan 15, 2026
GB @ CLE
88 - 73
Jan 25, 2025
GB @ CLE
66 - 81
Dec 7, 2024
CLE @ GB
83 - 61
Feb 28, 2024
GB @ CLE
69 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.1% more
Cleveland State: 5.1
vs
Green Bay: 3.8
Turnovers (L5)
+8.2% more
Cleveland State: 11.6
vs
Green Bay: 10.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.3%
Cleveland State: 42.9%
vs
Green Bay: 36.6%
Assists (L5)
+8.8% more
Green Bay: 16.5
vs
Cleveland State: 15.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
92.0
89
GB Score
58.0
82
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.6 / 42.9
48.0 / 55.0
Assists
16.5 / 15.2
15.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.8
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
51.7 / 48.7
44.0 / 51.0
Free Throw %
80.2 / 81.2
85.0 / 81.0
Rebounding
29.8 / 29.9
26.0 / 32.0
Steals
3.8 / 5.1
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 11.6
8.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
11-22-0
(33.3%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
GB
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
12-18-0
(40.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -0.3
GB
Advantage
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +6.3
GB
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GB
CLE
GB
CLE
ML
48%
16-17
52%
17-16
67%
22-11
64%
21-12
ATS
52%
17-16
64%
21-12
67%
22-11
64%
21-12
TTL
58%
19-14
52%
17-16
100%
33-0
100%
33-0