LE MOYNE
DOLPHINSLEM
11-10 | Road
61
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
SHARKSLIU
12-8 | Home
83
AI Model Win Probability
DOLPHINS
100%
SHARKS
0%
DOLPHINS
--
SHARKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-31.0
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +31.0 points (Long Island University)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LIU -31.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIU)
LEM By 1-7 points
0.1%
LEM By 8-14 points
0.0%
LIU By 1-7 points
0.8%
LIU By 8-14 points
4.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Le Moyne
57
LE MOYNE
Long Island University
88
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Simulated Score
Le Moyne
68
LE MOYNE
Long Island University
72
LONG ISLAND UNIVERSITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Sharks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sharks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Sharks (-7.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -31.0
D
Sim
Sharks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u147.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
LEM @ LIU
61 - 83
Jan 19, 2026
LIU @ LEM
77 - 83
Feb 22, 2025
LIU @ LEM
76 - 61
Jan 3, 2025
LEM @ LIU
62 - 78
Feb 22, 2024
LEM @ LIU
64 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+100.0% more
Long Island University: 5.7
vs
Le Moyne: 2.8
Steals (L5)
+33.7% more
Long Island University: 6.6
vs
Le Moyne: 5.0
Rebounding (L5)
+9.2% more
Long Island University: 36.1
vs
Le Moyne: 33.0
Assists (L5)
+14.2% more
Le Moyne: 12.6
vs
Long Island University: 10.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEM Score
57.0
61
LIU Score
88.0
83
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 44.3
41.0 / 19.0
Assists
10.8 / 12.6
18.0 / 11.0
Blocks
5.7 / 2.8
9.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
44.0 / 50.1
48.0 / 36.0
Free Throw %
61.3 / 74.3
77.0 / 63.0
Rebounding
36.1 / 33.0
38.0 / 34.0
Steals
6.6 / 5.0
7.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 11.6
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEM
Advantage
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
LIU
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEM
Advantage
16-15-0
(51.6%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-: +0.9
LIU
--
⚖️ Over/Under
LEM
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: +1.1
LIU
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LIU
LEM
LIU
LEM
ML
60%
21-14
68%
21-10
69%
24-11
68%
21-10
ATS
63%
22-13
65%
20-11
69%
24-11
69%
22-10
TTL
60%
21-14
42%
13-18
100%
35-0
100%
32-0
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