AI Model Win Probability
HIGHLANDERS
100%
BUCCANEERS
0%
HIGHLANDERS
--
BUCCANEERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
129.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.0
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Charleston Southern)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHSO -17.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHSO)
RAD By 1-7 points
3.3%
RAD By 8-14 points
0.6%
CHSO By 1-7 points
12.2%
CHSO By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Radford
56
RADFORD
Charleston Southern
73
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Simulated Score
Radford
74
RADFORD
Charleston Southern
65
CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Highlanders
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Buccaneers (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -17.0
D
Sim
Highlanders (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 129.0
D
Sim
u162.5
Win
Proj Total: 139.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 14, 2026
CHSO @ RAD
80 - 90
Jan 29, 2026
RAD @ CHSO
84 - 75
Mar 1, 2025
CHSO @ RAD
60 - 76
Jan 18, 2025
RAD @ CHSO
54 - 58
Feb 28, 2024
RAD @ CHSO
57 - 58
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+117.9% more
Charleston Southern: 5.8
vs
Radford: 2.7
Assists (L5)
+23.2% more
Charleston Southern: 14.9
vs
Radford: 12.1
Rebounding (L5)
+20.3% more
Charleston Southern: 39.5
vs
Radford: 32.9
Free Throw % (L5)
+17.1%
Radford: 72.8%
vs
Charleston Southern: 55.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
RAD Score
56.0
84
CHSO Score
73.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.2 / 36.3
22.0 / 43.0
Assists
14.9 / 12.1
11.0 / 8.0
Blocks
5.8 / 2.7
3.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
45.0 / 49.8
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
55.7 / 72.8
61.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
39.5 / 32.9
39.0 / 39.0
Steals
5.2 / 5.3
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 14.6
16.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
RAD
Advantage
16-16-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
CHSO
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
RAD
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 2.5
ATS +/-: -2.2
CHSO
14-15-0
(48.3%)
Margin: 3.3
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
RAD
16-13-0
O: 55.2% / U: 44.8%
Total +/-: +2.9
CHSO
19-10-0
O: 65.5% / U: 34.5%
Total +/-: +4.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHSO
RAD
CHSO
RAD
ML
43%
13-17
77%
23-7
67%
20-10
76%
22-7
ATS
50%
15-15
63%
19-11
68%
21-10
77%
23-7
TTL
50%
15-15
67%
20-10
100%
31-0
100%
30-0