CHARLESTON
COUGARSCOFC
13-8 | Road
66
HOFSTRA
PRIDEHOF
13-8 | Home
64
AI Model Win Probability
COUGARS
100%
PRIDE
0%
COUGARS
--
PRIDE
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
HOFSTRA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Hofstra)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOF -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOF)
COFC By 1-7 points
5.8%
COFC By 8-14 points
1.4%
HOF By 1-7 points
16.9%
HOF By 8-14 points
26.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Charleston
56
CHARLESTON
Hofstra
70
HOFSTRA
Simulated Score
Charleston
75
CHARLESTON
Hofstra
72
HOFSTRA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pride
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pride (-2.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Cougars (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim
u148.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 12, 2026
HOF @ COFC
66 - 62
Jan 29, 2026
COFC @ HOF
66 - 64
Jan 9, 2025
COFC @ HOF
67 - 61
Mar 2, 2024
HOF @ COFC
76 - 87
Jan 4, 2024
COFC @ HOF
73 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.7%
Hofstra: 80.6%
vs
Charleston: 71.9%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.0%
Hofstra: 40.2%
vs
Charleston: 34.2%
Turnovers (L5)
+39.0% more
Charleston: 13.8
vs
Hofstra: 8.4
Steals (L5)
+37.4% more
Charleston: 6.3
vs
Hofstra: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COFC Score
56.0
66
HOF Score
70.0
64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 34.2
31.0 / 17.0
Assists
11.7 / 15.2
16.0 / 11.0
Blocks
3.0 / 3.2
5.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
41.5 / 49.8
33.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
80.6 / 71.9
40.0 / 59.0
Rebounding
37.5 / 38.9
50.0 / 49.0
Steals
3.9 / 6.3
6.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
8.4 / 13.8
10.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COFC
21-11-0
(65.6%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
HOF
Advantage
24-11-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COFC
19-12-0
(61.3%)
Margin: 2.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
HOF
Advantage
21-12-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 8.7
ATS +/-: +4.0
⚖️ Over/Under
COFC
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1%
Total +/-: -1.8
HOF
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOF
COFC
HOF
COFC
ML
77%
27-8
66%
19-10
71%
25-10
62%
18-11
ATS
83%
29-6
59%
17-12
71%
25-10
62%
18-11
TTL
51%
18-17
68%
19-9-1
100%
35-0
100%
29-0
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