AI Model Win Probability
LIONS
0%
SCREAMING EAGLES
100%
LIONS
--
SCREAMING EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
112.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.0
LINDENWOOD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.0 points (Lindenwood)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LIN -10.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LIN)
LIN By 1-7 points
23.0%
LIN By 8-14 points
27.2%
USI By 1-7 points
10.7%
USI By 8-14 points
3.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Lindenwood
61
LINDENWOOD
Southern Indiana
51
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Simulated Score
Lindenwood
72
LINDENWOOD
Southern Indiana
78
SOUTHERN INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Lions
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Screaming Eagles
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Lions (+5.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.0
D
Sim
Screaming Eagles (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 112.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 150.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
LIN @ USI
73 - 60
Jan 3, 2026
USI @ LIN
80 - 83
Feb 15, 2025
USI @ LIN
78 - 81
Jan 16, 2025
LIN @ USI
73 - 80
Feb 29, 2024
LIN @ USI
67 - 63
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+53.2% more
Lindenwood: 10.8
vs
Southern Indiana: 5.1
Assists (L5)
+30.8% more
Lindenwood: 15.6
vs
Southern Indiana: 10.8
Turnovers (L5)
+21.5% more
Lindenwood: 16.1
vs
Southern Indiana: 12.6
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Lindenwood: 48.3%
vs
Southern Indiana: 39.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LIN Score
61.0
73
USI Score
51.0
60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 30.9
25.0 / 18.0
Assists
10.8 / 15.6
7.0 / 6.0
Blocks
4.9 / 3.9
5.0 / 15.0
Field Goal %
39.5 / 48.3
31.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
71.0 / 77.8
59.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
43.0 / 33.5
49.0 / 44.0
Steals
5.1 / 10.8
11.0 / 15.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 16.1
21.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LIN
Advantage
18-15-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
USI
7-23-0
(23.3%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LIN
Advantage
14-15-1
(48.3%)
Margin: 5.1
ATS +/-: -0.2
USI
11-16-1
(40.7%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LIN
17-13-0
O: 56.7% / U: 43.3%
Total +/-: -0.8
USI
11-17-0
O: 39.3% / U: 60.7%
Total +/-: -3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
USI
LIN
USI
LIN
ML
67%
20-10
47%
15-17
61%
17-11
61%
19-12
ATS
70%
21-9
34%
11-21
61%
17-11
61%
19-12
TTL
73%
22-8
53%
17-15
100%
28-0
100%
31-0