UT MARTIN
SKYHAWKSUTM
15-5 | Road
76
EASTERN ILLINOIS
PANTHERSEIU
9-12 | Home
68
AI Model Win Probability
SKYHAWKS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
SKYHAWKS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-37.0
UT MARTIN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +37.0 points (UT Martin)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTM -37.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTM)
UTM By 1-7 points
0.1%
UTM By 8-14 points
1.1%
EIU By 1-7 points
0.0%
EIU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
UT Martin
94
UT MARTIN
Eastern Illinois
57
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
UT Martin
74
UT MARTIN
Eastern Illinois
68
EASTERN ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Skyhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Skyhawks (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -37.0
D
Sim
Skyhawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o128.5
Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim
u128.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 5, 2026
EIU @ UTM
63 - 66
Jan 29, 2026
UTM @ EIU
76 - 68
Jan 3, 2026
EIU @ UTM
61 - 65
Feb 15, 2025
UTM @ EIU
72 - 68
Jan 16, 2025
EIU @ UTM
63 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+49.5% more
UT Martin: 5.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 2.6
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
UT Martin: 16.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 12.8
Rebounding (L5)
+16.1% more
UT Martin: 40.2
vs
Eastern Illinois: 33.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.3%
Eastern Illinois: 79.1%
vs
UT Martin: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTM Score
94.0
76
EIU Score
57.0
68
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.9 / 28.4
26.0 / 39.0
Assists
9.8 / 10.2
16.0 / 19.0
Blocks
2.6 / 5.2
1.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 39.4
39.0 / 53.0
Free Throw %
79.1 / 67.9
59.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
33.8 / 40.2
30.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.7
10.0 / 2.0
Turnovers
12.8 / 16.2
8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTM
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
EIU
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTM
15-14-0
(51.7%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +1.6
EIU
Advantage
15-13-2
(53.6%)
Margin: -3.2
ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
UTM
9-21-0
O: 30.0% / U: 70.0%
Total +/-: -8.2
EIU
14-16-0
O: 46.7% / U: 53.3%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EIU
UTM
EIU
UTM
ML
56%
18-14
69%
22-10
74%
23-8
69%
20-9
ATS
50%
16-16
56%
18-14
74%
23-8
69%
20-9
TTL
69%
22-10
44%
14-18
100%
31-0
100%
29-0
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