TORONTO
MAPLE LEAFSTOR
24-20-9 | Road
2
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
24-19-9 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Anthony Stolarz
#41 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Stolarz | 20-3 | 4.10 | 0.810 | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 2.00 | 0.935 | -- |
20-3
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.10
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.810
Save %
Ldr 0.935
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAPLE LEAFS
0%
KRAKEN
100%
MAPLE LEAFS
--
KRAKEN
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around TOR -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1 goal
12.1%
TOR By 2-3 goals
37.2%
SEA By 1 goal
2.8%
SEA By 2-3 goals
1.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
4
TORONTO
Seattle
1
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Maple Leafs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -3.0
D
Sim
Kraken (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u6.5
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
TOR @ SEA
2 - 5
Oct 18, 2025
SEA @ TOR
4 - 3
Feb 6, 2025
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Oct 31, 2024
SEA @ TOR
1 - 4
Jan 21, 2024
TOR @ SEA
3 - 1
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+33.2% more
Toronto: 26.2
vs
Seattle: 17.5
Takeaways (L5)
+26.4% more
Toronto: 5.7
vs
Seattle: 4.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+10.3%
Toronto: 59.6%
vs
Seattle: 49.3%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+15.2% more
Seattle: 15.7
vs
Toronto: 13.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
4.0
2
SEA Score
1.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.7 / 13.7
12.0 / 9.0
Faceoff %
49.3 / 59.6
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
17.5 / 26.2
13.0 / 20.0
Power Play %
16.1 / 12.7
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
25.2 / 27.0
22.0 / 31.0
Takeaways
4.2 / 5.7
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TOR
SEA
TOR
ML
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
0%
0-4
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
100%
4-0
0%
0-4
75%
3-1
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