UTAH
MAMMOTHUTA
28-21-4 | Road
4
CAROLINA
HURRICANESCAR
32-15-5 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Karel Vejmelka
#70 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Brandon Bussi
#32 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | None-None | 5.00 | 0.848 | -- |
| Brandon Bussi | None-None | 4.07 | 0.840 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
5.00
GAA
Ldr 4.07
0.848 Ldr
Save %
0.840
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
0%
HURRICANES
100%
MAMMOTH
--
HURRICANES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)
UTA By 1 goal
19.7%
UTA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
CAR By 1 goal
12.1%
CAR By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
4
UTAH
Carolina
3
CAROLINA
Simulated Score
Utah
4
UTAH
Carolina
2
CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mammoth
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Mammoth
Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hurricanes (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Sim
Mammoth (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Win
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 11, 2026
CAR @ UTA
4 - 1
Jan 29, 2026
UTA @ CAR
4 - 5
Feb 8, 2025
UTA @ CAR
3 - 7
Nov 13, 2024
CAR @ UTA
1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+20.8% more
Utah: 12.2
vs
Carolina: 9.7
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.0%
Utah: 54.3%
vs
Carolina: 49.2%
Takeaways (L5)
+25.4% more
Carolina: 5.5
vs
Utah: 4.4
Power Play % (L5)
+11.6%
Carolina: 22.9%
vs
Utah: 11.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTA Score
4.0
4
CAR Score
3.0
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
9.7 / 12.2
8.0 / 18.0
Faceoff %
49.2 / 54.3
55.0 / 45.0
Hits
20.2 / 18.8
23.0 / 28.0
Power Play %
22.9 / 11.3
40.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
27.5 / 25.8
33.0 / 25.0
Takeaways
5.5 / 4.4
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CAR
UTA
CAR
UTA
ML
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
40%
2-3
60%
3-2
ATS
60%
3-2
60%
3-2
80%
4-1
60%
3-2
TTL
0%
0-5
60%
3-2
20%
1-4
80%
4-1
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