LOS ANGELES
KINGSLA
22-16-13 | Road
1
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
30-17-5 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Darcy Kuemper
#35 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Alex Lyon
#34 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darcy Kuemper | None-None | 3.01 | 0.903 | -- |
| Alex Lyon | None-None | 1.00 | 0.974 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
3.01
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.903
Save %
Ldr 0.974
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
SABRES
100%
KINGS
--
SABRES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)
LA By 1 goal
19.7%
LA By 2-3 goals
29.6%
BUF By 1 goal
12.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
2
LOS ANGELES
Buffalo
4
BUFFALO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Sabres
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Sabres (+0)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 21, 2026
BUF @ LA
4 - 1
Jan 29, 2026
LA @ BUF
1 - 4
Nov 20, 2024
BUF @ LA
1 - 0
Oct 10, 2024
LA @ BUF
3 - 1
Feb 13, 2024
LA @ BUF
0 - 7
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5)
+5.5%
Los Angeles: 41.0%
vs
Buffalo: 35.4%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+14.4% more
Buffalo: 15.9
vs
Los Angeles: 13.9
Power Play % (L5)
+4.6%
Buffalo: 20.2%
vs
Los Angeles: 15.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LA Score
3.0
1
BUF Score
2.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
15.9 / 13.9
13.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
35.4 / 41.0
62.5 / 37.5
Hits
18.8 / 18.9
9.0 / 30.0
Power Play %
20.2 / 15.6
33.3 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
25.0 / 24.6
32.0 / 38.0
Takeaways
5.4 / 5.1
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
LA
BUF
LA
ML
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
67%
2-1
33%
1-2
ATS
33%
1-2
100%
3-0
100%
3-0
67%
2-1
TTL
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
33%
1-2
0%
0-3
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