BUCKNELL
BISONBUCK
6-15 | Road
79
LAFAYETTE
LEOPARDSLAF
5-16 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
BISON
100%
LEOPARDS
0%
BISON
--
LEOPARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
93.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
LAFAYETTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Lafayette)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAF -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAF)
BUCK By 1-7 points
24.3%
BUCK By 8-14 points
13.7%
LAF By 1-7 points
26.2%
LAF By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Bucknell
46
BUCKNELL
Lafayette
47
LAFAYETTE
Simulated Score
Bucknell
68
BUCKNELL
Lafayette
72
LAFAYETTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Leopards
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Leopards
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Leopards (+4.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Leopards (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u138.0
Loss
Proj Total: 93.0
D
Sim
u138.0
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
BUCK @ LAF
79 - 81
Jan 14, 2026
LAF @ BUCK
69 - 76
Feb 15, 2025
BUCK @ LAF
75 - 69
Jan 8, 2025
LAF @ BUCK
62 - 65
Mar 2, 2024
LAF @ BUCK
50 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+91.6% more
Lafayette: 2.7
vs
Bucknell: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+15.1% more
Lafayette: 34.1
vs
Bucknell: 29.6
Steals (L5)
+11.7% more
Lafayette: 8.1
vs
Bucknell: 7.3
Turnovers (L5)
+20.5% more
Bucknell: 10.8
vs
Lafayette: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BUCK Score
46.0
79
LAF Score
47.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 29.0
33.0 / 37.0
Assists
12.4 / 14.1
17.0 / 16.0
Blocks
2.7 / 1.4
1.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.6 / 43.7
48.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
67.4 / 78.5
74.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
34.1 / 29.6
32.0 / 31.0
Steals
8.1 / 7.3
5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
8.6 / 10.8
8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BUCK
10-23-0
(30.3%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
LAF
Advantage
11-21-0
(34.4%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BUCK
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -8.9
ATS +/-: -3.9
LAF
Advantage
14-17-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -5.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: +1.3
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAF
BUCK
LAF
BUCK
ML
53%
17-15
55%
18-15
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
ATS
56%
18-14
45%
15-18
59%
19-13
64%
21-12
TTL
50%
16-16
61%
20-13
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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