Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Wolves @ Knights WGA @ BELL

WEST GEORGIA

WOLVESWGA

10-10  |  Road

74
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Knights Hall
View Odds Details →

BELLARMINE

KNIGHTSBELL

7-13  |  Home

77
AI Model Win Probability
WOLVES
100%
📊
KNIGHTS
0%
WOLVES --
KNIGHTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
149.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-21.0
BELLARMINE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +21.0 points (Bellarmine)
WolvesWGA (-3.5) 0 KnightsBELL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wolves Cover

1.8%

Knights Cover

98.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BELL -21.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BELL)

WGA By 1-7 points

1.4%

WGA By 8-14 points

0.2%

BELL By 1-7 points

6.8%

BELL By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
64
WEST GEORGIA
85
BELLARMINE
Simulated Score
69
WEST GEORGIA
72
BELLARMINE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Knights Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Knights Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Knights (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -21.0
D
Sim Knights (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 WGA @ BELL 74 - 77
Jan 1, 2026 BELL @ WGA 85 - 87
Feb 15, 2025 WGA @ BELL 81 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +59.4% more
Bellarmine: 16.5 vs West Georgia: 10.3
Free Throw % (L5) +9.6%
Bellarmine: 78.0% vs West Georgia: 68.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Bellarmine: 51.9% vs West Georgia: 45.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.3%
Bellarmine: 39.8% vs West Georgia: 33.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WGA Score 64.0 74
BELL Score 85.0 77
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.8 / 33.5 35.0 / 52.0
Assists 16.5 / 10.3 14.0 / 16.0
Blocks 1.4 / 6.6 0.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.9 / 45.1 54.0 / 52.0
Free Throw % 78.0 / 68.4 83.0 / 38.0
Rebounding 25.7 / 33.8 28.0 / 30.0
Steals 5.2 / 6.0 5.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 8.5 / 13.4 7.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WGA Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
BELL
13-19-0 (40.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WGA Advantage
21-9-0 (70.0%)
Margin: -3.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
BELL
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -1.7 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
WGA
16-14-0
O: 53.3% / U: 46.7% Total +/-: +2.2
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +9.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BELL
WGA
BELL
WGA
ML
72% 23-9
58% 18-13
94% 29-2
61% 19-12
ATS
72% 23-9
71% 22-9
94% 29-2
61% 19-12
TTL
50% 16-16
55% 17-14
100% 31-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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