SEATTLE U
REDHAWKSSEA
14-8 | Road
58
WASHINGTON STATE
COUGARSWSU
9-13 | Home
70
AI Model Win Probability
REDHAWKS
100%
COUGARS
0%
REDHAWKS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
156.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
WASHINGTON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (Washington State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSU -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSU)
SEA By 1-7 points
16.9%
SEA By 8-14 points
6.8%
WSU By 1-7 points
26.8%
WSU By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle U
75
SEATTLE U
Washington State
81
WASHINGTON STATE
Simulated Score
Seattle U
68
SEATTLE U
Washington State
75
WASHINGTON STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (-2.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o142.5
Loss
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Sim
u142.5
Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
SEA @ WSU
58 - 70
Dec 30, 2025
WSU @ SEA
55 - 69
Nov 12, 2021
SEA @ WSU
61 - 79
Nov 7, 2019
SEA @ WSU
54 - 85
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+33.0% more
Washington State: 16.1
vs
Seattle U: 12.1
Field Goal % (L5)
+10.8%
Washington State: 50.4%
vs
Seattle U: 39.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.7% more
Washington State: 31.9
vs
Seattle U: 29.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Washington State: 40.4%
vs
Seattle U: 32.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
75.0
58
WSU Score
81.0
70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 32.5
42.0 / 14.0
Assists
16.1 / 12.1
16.0 / 9.0
Blocks
2.4 / 4.4
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 39.6
56.0 / 34.0
Free Throw %
72.4 / 67.6
63.0 / 76.0
Rebounding
31.9 / 29.3
39.0 / 28.0
Steals
6.4 / 7.7
4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.0 / 11.9
19.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
WSU
12-20-0
(37.5%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
WSU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -1.4
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
WSU
16-15-0
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +2.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSU
SEA
WSU
SEA
ML
78%
25-7
46%
16-19
69%
20-9
71%
24-10
ATS
78%
25-7
57%
20-15
69%
20-9
71%
24-10
TTL
62%
20-12
49%
17-18
100%
29-0
100%
34-0
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