Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Bulldogs @ Miners LT @ UTEP

LOUISIANA TECH

BULLDOGSLT

11-8  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 9:00 PM ET
Don Haskins Center
View Odds Details →

UTEP

MINERSUTEP

7-13  |  Home

59
AI Model Win Probability
BULLDOGS
100%
📊
MINERS
0%
BULLDOGS --
MINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
126.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
UTEP
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (UTEP)
BulldogsLT (-3.5) 0 MinersUTEP (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulldogs Cover

8.1%

Miners Cover

91.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTEP -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTEP)

LT By 1-7 points

5.8%

LT By 8-14 points

1.4%

UTEP By 1-7 points

16.9%

UTEP By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
56
LOUISIANA TECH
70
UTEP
Simulated Score
68
LOUISIANA TECH
72
UTEP
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Miners Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Miners Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Miners (-2.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim Miners (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 126.0
D
Sim u129.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 LT @ UTEP 69 - 59
Dec 29, 2025 UTEP @ LT 63 - 75
Mar 8, 2025 UTEP @ LT 58 - 76
Jan 2, 2025 LT @ UTEP 60 - 70
Feb 22, 2024 LT @ UTEP 65 - 59
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +49.5% more
UTEP: 14.1 vs Louisiana Tech: 9.4
Turnovers (L5) +17.7% more
UTEP: 11.7 vs Louisiana Tech: 9.9
Steals (L5) +15.1% more
UTEP: 6.9 vs Louisiana Tech: 6.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.2%
UTEP: 40.3% vs Louisiana Tech: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 56.0 69
UTEP Score 70.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.3 / 32.2 35.0 / 44.0
Assists 14.1 / 9.4 11.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.4 2.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 44.5 / 43.5 31.0 / 45.0
Free Throw % 68.6 / 71.2 89.0 / 78.0
Rebounding 28.8 / 35.1 28.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.9 / 6.0 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.7 / 9.9 11.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
43%TICKETS57%
38%MONEY62%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
20-14-0 (58.8%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
UTEP
11-20-0 (35.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
17-13-1 (56.7%)
Margin: 4.9 ATS +/-: +1.0
UTEP
13-15-0 (46.4%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
15-15-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -2.3
UTEP
12-15-1
O: 44.4% / U: 55.6% Total +/-: -1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTEP
LT
UTEP
LT
ML
70% 21-9
58% 19-14
72% 21-8
72% 23-9
ATS
57% 17-13
61% 20-13
73% 22-8
72% 23-9
TTL
60% 18-12
61% 20-13
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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