Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Pioneers @ Roos DEN @ KC

DENVER

PIONEERSDEN

9-13  |  Road

69
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 8:00 PM ET
Swinney Center
View Odds Details →

KANSAS CITY

ROOSKC

4-17  |  Home

61
AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
0%
📊
ROOS
100%
PIONEERS --
ROOS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
163.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
DENVER
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Denver)
PioneersDEN (-3.5) 0 RoosKC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pioneers Cover

93.3%

Roos Cover

6.7%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEN -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEN)

DEN By 1-7 points

15.3%

DEN By 8-14 points

25.3%

KC By 1-7 points

4.8%

KC By 8-14 points

1.1%

AI Model Projected Score
89
DENVER
74
KANSAS CITY
Simulated Score
71
DENVER
78
KANSAS CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pioneers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Roos Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pioneers (+3.5) Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim Roos (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 163.0
D
Sim u163.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 DEN @ KC 69 - 61
Dec 31, 2025 KC @ DEN 74 - 87
Feb 27, 2025 DEN @ KC 56 - 64
Jan 30, 2025 KC @ DEN 68 - 69
Mar 9, 2024 DEN @ KC 61 - 60
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +10.5%
Denver: 75.3% vs Kansas City: 64.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.6%
Denver: 42.8% vs Kansas City: 33.1%
Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Denver: 49.0% vs Kansas City: 42.2%
Blocks (L5) +174.4% more
Kansas City: 4.5 vs Denver: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEN Score 89.0 69
KC Score 74.0 61
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.1 / 42.8 20.0 / 25.0
Assists 12.0 / 12.5 7.0 / 6.0
Blocks 4.5 / 1.6 5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 49.0 38.0 / 37.0
Free Throw % 64.7 / 75.3 50.0 / 74.0
Rebounding 30.6 / 32.4 36.0 / 51.0
Steals 5.1 / 3.6 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 10.4 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN Advantage
15-17-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
KC
4-27-0 (12.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN Advantage
17-11-1 (60.7%)
Margin: 0.0 ATS +/-: +1.1
KC
5-23-0 (17.9%)
Margin: -14.5 ATS +/-: -6.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +7.0
KC
16-12-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KC
DEN
KC
DEN
ML
63% 19-11
56% 18-14
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
ATS
67% 20-10
66% 21-11
67% 20-10
59% 19-13
TTL
70% 21-9
59% 19-13
100% 30-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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