SAN FRANCISCO
DONSSF
13-9 | Road
73
SANTA CLARA
BRONCOSSCU
17-5 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
DONS
0%
BRONCOS
100%
DONS
--
BRONCOS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
135.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SF -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
SF By 1-7 points
15.3%
SF By 8-14 points
25.3%
SCU By 1-7 points
4.8%
SCU By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Francisco
75
SAN FRANCISCO
Santa Clara
60
SANTA CLARA
Simulated Score
San Francisco
69
SAN FRANCISCO
Santa Clara
72
SANTA CLARA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Broncos
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Dons (-9.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Broncos (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 135.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 21, 2026
SCU @ SF
94 - 73
Jan 28, 2026
SF @ SCU
73 - 88
Jan 11, 2025
SF @ SCU
54 - 77
Dec 30, 2024
SCU @ SF
94 - 97
Mar 2, 2024
SF @ SCU
62 - 69
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+11.3%
San Francisco: 44.9%
vs
Santa Clara: 33.7%
Blocks (L5)
+175.4% more
Santa Clara: 5.0
vs
San Francisco: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+61.7% more
Santa Clara: 8.4
vs
San Francisco: 5.2
Assists (L5)
+11.0% more
Santa Clara: 15.6
vs
San Francisco: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SF Score
75.0
73
SCU Score
60.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.7 / 44.9
46.0 / 32.0
Assists
15.6 / 14.0
17.0 / 15.0
Blocks
5.0 / 1.8
0.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
51.3 / 44.4
51.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
71.6 / 64.1
77.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
35.6 / 37.5
31.0 / 36.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.2
12.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 12.3
7.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SF
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
SCU
Advantage
26-9-0
(74.3%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SF
14-18-0
(43.8%)
Margin: 1.5
ATS +/-: -2.4
SCU
Advantage
17-16-1
(51.5%)
Margin: 10.0
ATS +/-: +2.6
⚖️ Over/Under
SF
17-15-0
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: +1.1
SCU
20-13-1
O: 60.6% / U: 39.4%
Total +/-: +4.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SCU
SF
SCU
SF
ML
44%
15-19
39%
13-20
73%
22-8
64%
21-12
ATS
53%
18-16
42%
14-19
74%
23-8
64%
21-12
TTL
47%
16-18
73%
24-9
100%
31-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Big Ten Commissioner Tony Petitti Denies Any Expansion Talks Ami…
Aiden Tobiason Brings Sharpshooting and Playmaking to Syracuse B…
Mountain West Media Days: Eric Olen Earns High Praise from Rival…
Clemson's Brad Brownell Reveals New Identity, Injury Updates at …
Jalen Shelley Compares Texas A&M Basketball's Press to Minnesota…