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STANFORD

CARDINALSTAN

14-6  |  Road

70
FINAL
Wed, Jan 28 • 9:00 PM ET
Watsco Center
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

HURRICANESMIA

16-4  |  Home

79
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINAL
0%
📊
HURRICANES
100%
CARDINAL --
HURRICANES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
152.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
STANFORD
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Stanford)
CardinalSTAN (-3.5) 0 HurricanesMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cardinal Cover

99.2%

Hurricanes Cover

0.8%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around STAN -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STAN)

STAN By 1-7 points

4.0%

STAN By 8-14 points

12.2%

MIA By 1-7 points

0.6%

MIA By 8-14 points

0.1%

AI Model Projected Score
88
STANFORD
64
MIAMI
Simulated Score
70
STANFORD
82
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cardinal Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cardinal (-9.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -24.0
D
Sim Hurricanes (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 152.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 28, 2026 STAN @ MIA 70 - 79
Jan 22, 2025 MIA @ STAN 51 - 88
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +47.2% more
Miami: 15.7 vs Stanford: 10.7
Turnovers (L5) +28.6% more
Miami: 13.7 vs Stanford: 10.6
Field Goal % (L5) +13.8%
Miami: 50.5% vs Stanford: 36.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.2%
Miami: 36.2% vs Stanford: 29.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STAN Score 88.0 70
MIA Score 64.0 79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 29.0 40.0 / 46.0
Assists 15.7 / 10.7 15.0 / 16.0
Blocks 3.1 / 3.2 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 50.5 / 36.8 47.0 / 44.0
Free Throw % 76.5 / 71.4 61.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 35.3 / 33.9 39.0 / 30.0
Steals 6.6 / 6.3 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 10.6 9.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
56%MONEY44%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STAN
20-13-0 (60.6%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
MIA Advantage
26-9-0 (74.3%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STAN
16-16-1 (50.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: +0.1
MIA Advantage
18-15-1 (54.6%)
Margin: 10.3 ATS +/-: +1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
STAN
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.9
MIA
21-12-1
O: 63.6% / U: 36.4% Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
STAN
MIA
STAN
ML
63% 22-13
48% 16-17
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
ATS
63% 22-13
48% 16-17
64% 21-12
50% 16-16
TTL
63% 22-13
55% 18-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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