TEXAS
LONGHORNSTEX
12-8 | Road
82
AUBURN
TIGERSAUB
13-7 | Home
88
AI Model Win Probability
LONGHORNS
100%
TIGERS
0%
LONGHORNS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
145.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
AUBURN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Auburn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around AUB -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AUB)
TEX By 1-7 points
15.3%
TEX By 8-14 points
5.8%
AUB By 1-7 points
26.2%
AUB By 8-14 points
25.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
69
TEXAS
Auburn
76
AUBURN
Simulated Score
Texas
74
TEXAS
Auburn
82
AUBURN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-6.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u154.5
Loss
Proj Total: 145.0
D
Sim
u154.5
Win
Proj Total: 156.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
TEX @ AUB
82 - 88
Jan 7, 2025
AUB @ TEX
87 - 82
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+79.4% more
Auburn: 4.3
vs
Texas: 2.4
Steals (L5)
+9.1% more
Auburn: 7.9
vs
Texas: 7.2
Assists (L5)
+15.7% more
Texas: 12.7
vs
Auburn: 10.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.2%
Texas: 30.7%
vs
Auburn: 25.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
69.0
82
AUB Score
76.0
88
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.5 / 30.7
52.0 / 46.0
Assists
10.7 / 12.7
8.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.3 / 2.4
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 50.2
51.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
80.8 / 79.5
74.0 / 78.0
Rebounding
36.5 / 35.9
23.0 / 26.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.2
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 10.6
3.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
21-15-0
(58.3%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
AUB
22-16-0
(57.9%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
20-15-0
(57.1%)
Margin: 6.6
ATS +/-: +0.6
AUB
15-23-0
(39.5%)
Margin: 4.2
ATS +/-: -1.5
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +2.6
AUB
22-16-0
O: 57.9% / U: 42.1%
Total +/-: +4.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
AUB
TEX
AUB
TEX
ML
58%
22-16
58%
21-15
75%
24-8
56%
19-15
ATS
74%
28-10
56%
20-16
75%
24-8
56%
19-15
TTL
53%
20-18
64%
23-13
100%
32-0
100%
34-0
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