TENNESSEE
VOLUNTEERSTENN
13-6 | Road
86
GEORGIA
BULLDOGSUGA
16-4 | Home
85
AI Model Win Probability
VOLUNTEERS
0%
BULLDOGS
100%
VOLUNTEERS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
166.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.0 points (Tennessee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around TENN -12.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TENN)
TENN By 1-7 points
20.1%
TENN By 8-14 points
27.2%
UGA By 1-7 points
8.0%
UGA By 8-14 points
2.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Tennessee
89
TENNESSEE
Georgia
77
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Tennessee
68
TENNESSEE
Georgia
80
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Volunteers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Volunteers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -12.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o159.5
Win
Proj Total: 166.0
D
Sim
u159.5
Win
Proj Total: 148.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 28, 2026
TENN @ UGA
86 - 85
Jan 15, 2025
UGA @ TENN
56 - 74
Jan 13, 2024
TENN @ UGA
85 - 79
Jan 25, 2023
UGA @ TENN
41 - 70
Mar 1, 2022
TENN @ UGA
75 - 68
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+16.0% more
Tennessee: 41.8
vs
Georgia: 35.1
Assists (L5)
+14.5% more
Tennessee: 13.7
vs
Georgia: 11.7
Steals (L5)
+9.0% more
Tennessee: 7.8
vs
Georgia: 7.1
Turnovers (L5)
+8.4% more
Tennessee: 13.0
vs
Georgia: 11.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TENN Score
89.0
86
UGA Score
77.0
85
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.0 / 35.3
32.0 / 39.0
Assists
11.7 / 13.7
11.0 / 17.0
Blocks
5.2 / 3.5
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
42.1 / 46.1
51.0 / 44.0
Free Throw %
76.6 / 67.9
70.0 / 60.0
Rebounding
35.1 / 41.8
27.0 / 52.0
Steals
7.1 / 7.8
5.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.9 / 13.0
6.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TENN
Advantage
25-12-0
(67.6%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
UGA
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TENN
Advantage
17-19-1
(47.2%)
Margin: 9.3
ATS +/-: -1.0
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
TENN
18-19-0
O: 48.7% / U: 51.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
TENN
UGA
TENN
ML
67%
22-11
46%
17-20
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
ATS
61%
20-13
54%
20-17
56%
18-14
64%
21-12
TTL
64%
21-12
76%
28-9
100%
32-0
100%
33-0
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