Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bucks @ 76ers MIL @ PHI

MILWAUKEE

BUCKSMIL

18-26  |  Road

122
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

24-21  |  Home

139
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
BUCKS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
BucksMIL (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bucks Cover

46.0%

76ers Cover

54.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

MIL By 1-7 points

24.3%

MIL By 8-14 points

13.7%

PHI By 1-7 points

26.2%

PHI By 8-14 points

16.9%

AI Model Projected Score
116
MILWAUKEE
117
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
114
MILWAUKEE
118
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 76ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI 76ers (+10) Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o220.0 Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim u220.0 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 MIL @ PHI 106 - 126
Jan 27, 2026 MIL @ PHI 122 - 139
Dec 5, 2025 PHI @ MIL 116 - 101
Nov 20, 2025 PHI @ MIL 123 - 114
Apr 3, 2025 MIL @ PHI 126 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +66.9% more
Philadelphia: 11.8 vs Milwaukee: 7.0
Turnovers (L5) +13.1% more
Philadelphia: 15.2 vs Milwaukee: 13.5
Free Throw % (L5) +6.9%
Philadelphia: 77.9% vs Milwaukee: 71.0%
Rebounding (L5) +11.8% more
Milwaukee: 44.0 vs Philadelphia: 38.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIL Score 116.0 122
PHI Score 117.0 139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.5 / 36.4 52.0 / 44.0
Assists 24.6 / 26.0 35.0 / 29.0
Blocks 4.3 / 4.7 5.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.9 / 44.8 52.0 / 51.0
Free Throw % 77.9 / 71.0 73.0 / 70.0
Rebounding 38.8 / 44.0 46.0 / 38.0
Steals 11.8 / 7.0 7.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 15.2 / 13.5 7.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
66%MONEY34%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
70%TICKETS30%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
32-50-0 (39.0%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -6.2 ATS +/-: -3.0
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4% Total +/-: +1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
MIL
PHI
MIL
ML
63% 69-40
64% 61-35
48% 45-48
60% 49-32
ATS
65% 71-38
68% 65-31
48% 45-48
60% 49-32
TTL
55% 60-49
55% 53-43
100% 93-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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