WAKE FOREST
DEMON DEACONSWAKE
11-9 | Road
76
PITTSBURGH
PANTHERSPITT
8-12 | Home
80
AI Model Win Probability
DEMON DEACONS
0%
PANTHERS
100%
DEMON DEACONS
--
PANTHERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
103.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.0
PITTSBURGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PITT +1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PITT)
WAKE By 1-7 points
26.2%
WAKE By 8-14 points
16.9%
PITT By 1-7 points
24.3%
PITT By 8-14 points
13.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Wake Forest
52
WAKE FOREST
Pittsburgh
51
PITTSBURGH
Simulated Score
Wake Forest
76
WAKE FOREST
Pittsburgh
71
PITTSBURGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Demon Deacons
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Demon Deacons
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Panthers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Spread: +1.0
D
Sim
Demon Deacons (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u150.5
Loss
Proj Total: 103.0
D
Sim
u150.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 27, 2026
WAKE @ PITT
76 - 80
Feb 1, 2025
PITT @ WAKE
74 - 76
Mar 14, 2024
WAKE @ PITT
69 - 81
Feb 20, 2024
PITT @ WAKE
58 - 91
Jan 31, 2024
WAKE @ PITT
72 - 77
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+40.4% more
Wake Forest: 8.6
vs
Pittsburgh: 5.1
Blocks (L5)
+22.3% more
Wake Forest: 3.1
vs
Pittsburgh: 2.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.3%
Wake Forest: 77.8%
vs
Pittsburgh: 56.4%
Assists (L5)
+16.0% more
Wake Forest: 15.3
vs
Pittsburgh: 12.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WAKE Score
52.0
76
PITT Score
51.0
80
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 36.7
31.0 / 29.0
Assists
12.9 / 15.3
12.0 / 10.0
Blocks
2.4 / 3.1
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
40.7 / 43.2
38.0 / 46.0
Free Throw %
56.4 / 77.8
68.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
39.4 / 26.2
42.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.1 / 8.6
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
10.7 / 10.0
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WAKE
Advantage
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
PITT
13-20-0
(39.4%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WAKE
16-18-1
(47.1%)
Margin: 1.9
ATS +/-: -0.8
PITT
Advantage
17-16-0
(51.5%)
Margin: -1.3
ATS +/-: -0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
WAKE
20-15-0
O: 57.1% / U: 42.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
PITT
17-15-1
O: 53.1% / U: 46.9%
Total +/-: -0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PITT
WAKE
PITT
WAKE
ML
58%
19-14
49%
17-18
45%
15-18
61%
20-13
ATS
64%
21-12
66%
23-12
45%
15-18
61%
20-13
TTL
61%
20-13
60%
21-14
100%
33-0
100%
33-0
Contextual Game News
Virginia Basketball Reveals 2026-27 ACC Slate: Duke and Virginia…
Notre Dame Tops Early College Football Playoff Projections as 12…
Berkshire Sports Preview: New Gridiron Alignments and Historic N…
Mike McCarthy came home to Pittsburgh, his family and the grief …
Sewickley Herald notebook: Panthers basketball standout embarkin…