Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sycamores @ Flames INST @ UIC

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

9-12  |  Road

74
FINAL
Tue, Jan 27 • 8:00 PM ET
Credit Union 1 Arena
View Odds Details →

UIC

FLAMESUIC

11-10  |  Home

76
AI Model Win Probability
SYCAMORES
100%
📊
FLAMES
0%
SYCAMORES --
FLAMES --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
185.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
UIC
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (UIC)
SycamoresINST (-3.5) 0 FlamesUIC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sycamores Cover

38.2%

Flames Cover

61.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UIC -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UIC)

INST By 1-7 points

21.6%

INST By 8-14 points

10.7%

UIC By 1-7 points

27.2%

UIC By 8-14 points

20.1%

AI Model Projected Score
91
INDIANA STATE
94
UIC
Simulated Score
78
INDIANA STATE
71
UIC
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Sycamores Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (+6.5) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Sycamores (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o147.5 Win
Proj Total: 185.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 149.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 1, 2026 UIC @ INST 63 - 79
Jan 27, 2026 INST @ UIC 74 - 76
Feb 1, 2025 INST @ UIC 88 - 83
Feb 24, 2024 UIC @ INST 73 - 88
Jan 24, 2024 INST @ UIC 89 - 83
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +53.0% more
UIC: 3.0 vs Indiana State: 2.0
Steals (L5) +52.3% more
UIC: 7.3 vs Indiana State: 4.8
Free Throw % (L5) +5.7%
UIC: 70.5% vs Indiana State: 64.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
UIC: 35.8% vs Indiana State: 30.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
INST Score 91.0 74
UIC Score 94.0 76
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 30.7 41.0 / 37.0
Assists 16.3 / 17.0 17.0 / 25.0
Blocks 3.0 / 2.0 4.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 47.3 / 46.6 46.0 / 53.0
Free Throw % 70.5 / 64.8 75.0 / 50.0
Rebounding 37.1 / 35.3 26.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.3 / 4.8 14.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 9.8 / 15.0 11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
INST Advantage
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
UIC
--
🎯 ATS (Spread)
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
UIC
--
⚖️ Over/Under
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
UIC
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UIC
INST
UIC
INST
ML
57% 20-15
66% 21-11
44% 15-19
53% 17-15
ATS
54% 19-16
62% 20-12
44% 15-19
53% 17-15
TTL
60% 21-14
53% 17-15
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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