GEORGE WASHINGTON
REVOLUTIONARIESGW
13-7 | Road
76
SAINT LOUIS
BILLIKENSSLU
19-1 | Home
79
AI Model Win Probability
REVOLUTIONARIES
100%
BILLIKENS
0%
REVOLUTIONARIES
--
BILLIKENS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
137.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-19.0
SAINT LOUIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +19.0 points (Saint Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SLU -19.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SLU)
GW By 1-7 points
2.2%
GW By 8-14 points
0.4%
SLU By 1-7 points
9.3%
SLU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
George Washington
59
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Saint Louis
78
SAINT LOUIS
Simulated Score
George Washington
72
GEORGE WASHINGTON
Saint Louis
75
SAINT LOUIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Billikens
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Billikens
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Billikens (-10.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -19.0
D
Sim
Billikens (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Sim
u167.5
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
GW @ SLU
81 - 88
Jan 27, 2026
GW @ SLU
76 - 79
Jan 25, 2025
SLU @ GW
61 - 67
Feb 24, 2024
GW @ SLU
91 - 96
Jan 14, 2023
SLU @ GW
81 - 74
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.6% more
Saint Louis: 20.6
vs
George Washington: 15.6
Blocks (L5)
+24.1% more
Saint Louis: 4.6
vs
George Washington: 3.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
Saint Louis: 46.4%
vs
George Washington: 37.6%
Rebounding (L5)
+8.8% more
Saint Louis: 39.8
vs
George Washington: 36.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GW Score
59.0
76
SLU Score
78.0
79
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.4 / 37.6
39.0 / 27.0
Assists
20.6 / 15.6
17.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.6 / 3.7
0.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
53.0 / 45.6
44.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
61.4 / 74.2
50.0 / 67.0
Rebounding
39.8 / 36.6
42.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.6 / 7.3
7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
11.1 / 10.9
14.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GW
19-16-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
SLU
Advantage
29-6-0
(82.9%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GW
15-18-0
(45.5%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -0.2
SLU
Advantage
19-13-2
(59.4%)
Margin: 16.8
ATS +/-: +2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GW
15-18-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -0.4
SLU
18-16-0
O: 52.9% / U: 47.1%
Total +/-: -0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SLU
GW
SLU
GW
ML
70%
23-10
63%
22-13
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
ATS
73%
24-9
69%
24-11
68%
21-10
60%
21-14
TTL
61%
20-13
60%
21-14
100%
31-0
100%
35-0
