JACKSON STATE
TIGERSJKST
5-14 | Road
66
FLORIDA A&M
RATTLERSFAMU
8-9 | Home
65
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
RATTLERS
100%
TIGERS
--
RATTLERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
142.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-34.0
JACKSON STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +34.0 points (Jackson State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around JKST -34.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (JKST)
JKST By 1-7 points
0.4%
JKST By 8-14 points
2.2%
FAMU By 1-7 points
0.0%
FAMU By 8-14 points
0.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Jackson State
88
JACKSON STATE
Florida A&M
54
FLORIDA A&M
Simulated Score
Jackson State
72
JACKSON STATE
Florida A&M
68
FLORIDA A&M
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (-6)
Win
Proj Spread: -34.0
D
Sim
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Sim
u149.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 11, 2026
JKST @ FAMU
60 - 70
Feb 14, 2026
FAMU @ JKST
60 - 80
Jan 26, 2026
JKST @ FAMU
66 - 65
Mar 12, 2025
FAMU @ JKST
76 - 91
Feb 15, 2025
JKST @ FAMU
71 - 76
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.3%
Jackson State: 82.9%
vs
Florida A&M: 70.6%
Steals (L5)
+47.0% more
Florida A&M: 8.4
vs
Jackson State: 5.7
Turnovers (L5)
+35.6% more
Florida A&M: 17.5
vs
Jackson State: 12.9
Blocks (L5)
+27.6% more
Florida A&M: 3.9
vs
Jackson State: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
JKST Score
88.0
66
FAMU Score
54.0
65
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.5 / 28.8
29.0 / 37.0
Assists
15.1 / 12.9
12.0 / 8.0
Blocks
3.9 / 3.0
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.8 / 39.2
41.0 / 42.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 82.9
53.0 / 71.0
Rebounding
34.6 / 35.4
33.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.4 / 5.7
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 12.9
9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0
(36.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
FAMU
Advantage
15-16-0
(48.4%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0
(42.4%)
Margin: -13.5
ATS +/-: -3.6
FAMU
Advantage
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -4.2
ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +4.2
FAMU
11-18-0
O: 37.9% / U: 62.1%
Total +/-: -1.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FAMU
JKST
FAMU
JKST
ML
55%
16-13
77%
24-7
71%
17-7
73%
19-7
ATS
48%
14-15
77%
24-7
71%
17-7
73%
19-7
TTL
76%
22-7
58%
18-13
100%
24-0
100%
26-0
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