NEW YORK
ISLANDERSNYI
27-19-5 | Road
4
PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
24-17-9 | Home
0
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Ilya Sorokin
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Cam York
#8 | Defense| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | None-None | 0.00 | 1.000 | 1 |
| Cam York | None-None | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
0.00
GAA
--
1.000
Save %
--
1
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
ISLANDERS
100%
FLYERS
0%
ISLANDERS
--
FLYERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around PHI -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NYI By 1 goal
12.1%
NYI By 2-3 goals
9.3%
PHI By 1 goal
19.7%
PHI By 2-3 goals
29.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
3
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
2
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Flyers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Flyers
Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Flyers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
D
Sim
Flyers (+0)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o6.0
Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Sim
u6.0
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 3, 2026
PHI @ NYI
4 - 1
Jan 26, 2026
NYI @ PHI
4 - 0
Nov 28, 2025
PHI @ NYI
4 - 3
Oct 25, 2025
NYI @ PHI
3 - 4
Oct 2, 2025
NYI @ PHI
4 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+36.8% more
Philadelphia: 17.3
vs
New York: 12.6
Hits (L5)
+27.1% more
Philadelphia: 22.4
vs
New York: 17.7
Power Play % (L5)
+11.1%
Philadelphia: 26.1%
vs
New York: 15.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+11.5% more
New York: 26.8
vs
Philadelphia: 23.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYI Score
3.0
4
PHI Score
4.0
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.3 / 12.6
10.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
52.6 / 57.9
42.1 / 57.9
Hits
22.4 / 17.7
23.0 / 15.0
Power Play %
26.1 / 15.0
0.0 / 33.3
Shots on Goal
23.7 / 26.8
21.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.1 / 4.5
6.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYI
PHI
NYI
ML
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
ATS
40%
2-3
50%
2-2
40%
2-3
25%
1-3
TTL
20%
1-4
67%
2-1-1
40%
2-3
100%
3-0-1
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