TULSA
GOLDEN HURRICANETLSA
16-3 | Road
87
RICE
OWLSRICE
8-11 | Home
81
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN HURRICANE
100%
OWLS
0%
GOLDEN HURRICANE
--
OWLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
182.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
RICE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Rice)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around RICE -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (RICE)
TLSA By 1-7 points
20.1%
TLSA By 8-14 points
9.3%
RICE By 1-7 points
27.4%
RICE By 8-14 points
21.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Tulsa
89
TULSA
Rice
93
RICE
Simulated Score
Tulsa
68
TULSA
Rice
72
RICE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Owls
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Owls
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Owls (+9.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Sim
Owls (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o153.5
Win
Proj Total: 182.0
D
Sim
u153.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 24, 2026
TLSA @ RICE
87 - 81
Dec 31, 2025
RICE @ TLSA
48 - 97
Feb 22, 2025
TLSA @ RICE
50 - 71
Jan 1, 2025
RICE @ TLSA
70 - 64
Feb 17, 2024
RICE @ TLSA
82 - 93
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+44.6% more
Rice: 4.4
vs
Tulsa: 3.0
Assists (L5)
+22.8% more
Tulsa: 14.6
vs
Rice: 11.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.0%
Tulsa: 84.6%
vs
Rice: 70.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.5%
Tulsa: 48.4%
vs
Rice: 44.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TLSA Score
89.0
87
RICE Score
93.0
81
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.5 / 39.4
46.0 / 44.0
Assists
11.3 / 14.6
13.0 / 11.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.0
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 48.4
50.0 / 48.0
Free Throw %
70.6 / 84.6
64.0 / 79.0
Rebounding
34.7 / 37.1
34.0 / 32.0
Steals
6.0 / 5.6
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
10.6 / 10.0
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TLSA
Advantage
30-8-0
(79.0%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
RICE
13-18-0
(41.9%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TLSA
Advantage
20-15-1
(57.1%)
Margin: 11.4
ATS +/-: +4.3
RICE
16-13-0
(55.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
TLSA
24-12-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +4.8
RICE
17-12-0
O: 58.6% / U: 41.4%
Total +/-: +2.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
RICE
TLSA
RICE
TLSA
ML
53%
16-14
66%
25-13
53%
16-14
64%
23-13
ATS
60%
18-12
74%
28-10
53%
16-14
64%
23-13
TTL
77%
23-7
58%
22-16
100%
30-0
100%
36-0
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