Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Leopards @ Mountain Hawks LAF @ LEH

LAFAYETTE

LEOPARDSLAF

5-15  |  Road

59
FINAL
Sat, Jan 24 • 7:00 PM ET
Stabler Arena
View Odds Details →

LEHIGH

MOUNTAIN HAWKSLEH

8-12  |  Home

64
AI Model Win Probability
LEOPARDS
100%
📊
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
0%
LEOPARDS --
MOUNTAIN HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
193.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-51.0
LEHIGH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +51.0 points (Lehigh)
LeopardsLAF (-3.5) 0 Mountain HawksLEH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Leopards Cover

0.0%

Mountain Hawks Cover

100.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LEH -51.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LEH)

LAF By 1-7 points

0.0%

LAF By 8-14 points

0.0%

LEH By 1-7 points

0.0%

LEH By 8-14 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
71
LAFAYETTE
122
LEHIGH
Simulated Score
68
LAFAYETTE
72
LEHIGH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Mountain Hawks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mountain Hawks (-2.5) Win
Proj Spread: -51.0
D
Sim Mountain Hawks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o143.5 Loss
Proj Total: 193.0
D
Sim u143.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 14, 2026 LEH @ LAF 78 - 69
Jan 24, 2026 LAF @ LEH 59 - 64
Feb 22, 2025 LEH @ LAF 70 - 78
Jan 25, 2025 LAF @ LEH 47 - 86
Mar 7, 2024 LEH @ LAF 76 - 61
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +15.4%
Lehigh: 85.0% vs Lafayette: 69.7%
Turnovers (L5) +10.0% more
Lehigh: 9.3 vs Lafayette: 8.4
Field Goal % (L5) +7.8%
Lehigh: 49.2% vs Lafayette: 41.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Lehigh: 35.6% vs Lafayette: 33.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAF Score 71.0 59
LEH Score 122.0 64
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.6 / 33.6 47.0 / 24.0
Assists 14.7 / 15.2 15.0 / 7.0
Blocks 2.5 / 3.1 1.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 41.4 42.0 / 36.0
Free Throw % 85.0 / 69.7 92.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 30.1 / 35.6 35.0 / 31.0
Steals 7.5 / 7.2 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 9.3 / 8.4 16.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
12%TICKETS88%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
26%TICKETS74%
74%MONEY26%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
50%TICKETS50%
14%MONEY86%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAF
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
LEH Advantage
18-17-0 (51.4%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAF
14-17-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -5.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
LEH Advantage
18-14-1 (56.3%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +1.0
⚖️ Over/Under
LAF
18-13-0
O: 58.1% / U: 41.9% Total +/-: +1.0
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5% Total +/-: +4.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LEH
LAF
LEH
LAF
ML
56% 19-15
53% 17-15
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
ATS
56% 19-15
56% 18-14
68% 23-11
59% 19-13
TTL
76% 26-8
50% 16-16
100% 34-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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